Indy Eleven 1-1 Hartford Athletic: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost55%

4.0 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.8 in the visitors', league average 4.5

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost37%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (33% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloIndy Eleven142851%39%Draw25%28%Hartford Athletic150625%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.557%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hartford Athletic2:2Indy ElevenD
  2. Hartford Athletic0:2Indy ElevenW
  3. Indy Eleven4:4Hartford AthleticD
  4. Hartford Athletic0:0Indy ElevenD
  5. Indy Eleven4:1Hartford AthleticW
Indy Eleven's record: 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.2over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Indy Eleven : Hartford Athletic
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%0-1—2-08%0-0—1-26%Attack/defence1-113%2-19%1-010%0-18%2-0—0-08%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-010%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-08%2-0—0-00-0—0-08%1-21-26%1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%69%69%
12 – no draw76%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals65%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals57%49%49%
1 – Indy Eleven win51%42% · Elo 39%42%· Elo 39%
X2 – away team avoid defeat50%58%58%
Under 2.5 goals43%51%51%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals35%27%27%
X – draw25%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
2 – Hartford Athletic win25%31% · Elo 33%31%· Elo 33%
Under 1.5 goals19%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Indy Eleven attack vs Hartford Athletic defenceattack1529defence1517+12 pts to the attack
Hartford Athletic attack vs Indy Eleven defenceattack1481defence1437+44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hartford Athletic: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Hartford Athletic score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Indy Eleven: 4 defeats in a row
  • Indy Eleven: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hartford Athletic: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Hartford Athletic27912630:2839
9Indy Eleven28971234:3634
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic?

Indy Eleven 1-1 Hartford Athletic (half time 1-0).

Did the Indy Eleven vs Hartford Athletic tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.