Rhode Island FC 1-0 Indy Eleven: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Beirne Stadium, Smithfield, RI

Our tips

Main tip
Fouls – Indy Eleven: Under 10.5Lost62%

our numbers for Indy Eleven: 9.7 fouls against a league average of 11.5; Indy Eleven: 8.4 fouls a match, Rhode Island FC's opponents committed 9.5 on average, league average 11.5

Other tips

  • Offsides – Rhode Island FC: Under 1.5Won64%

    Rhode Island FC: 1.3 offsides a match, Indy Eleven's opponents were caught offside 0.9 times on average, league average 1.6

  • Shots on Target – Rhode Island FC: Over 4.5Lost56%

    our numbers for Rhode Island FC: 5.1 shots on target against a league average of 4.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRhode Island FC153851%53%Draw24%25%Indy Eleven142825%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%50%O2.557%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Indy Eleven1:0Rhode Island FCL
  2. Rhode Island FC1:0Indy ElevenW
  3. Indy Eleven1:0Rhode Island FCL
  4. Indy Eleven2:3Rhode Island FCW
  5. Indy Eleven1:0Rhode Island FCL
Rhode Island FC's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.2under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Rhode Island FC : Indy Eleven
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-110%2-08%0-0—0-1—1-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-08%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-010%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-26%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%73%73%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals65%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes59%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals57%48%48%
1 – Rhode Island FC win51%53% · Elo 53%53%· Elo 53%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals43%52%52%
Both teams to score: no41%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals35%26%26%
2 – Indy Eleven win25%22% · Elo 22%22%· Elo 22%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals19%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Rhode Island FC attack vs Indy Eleven defenceattack1531defence1454+77 pts to the attack
Indy Eleven attack vs Rhode Island FC defenceattack1522defence1602−80 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.559%50%
8.545%35%
9.533%29%
10.523%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 5.1, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 56%
Indy Elevenwe expect 3.5, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 57%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 43%
We expect 21.8 in this match, 22.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.550%62%
22.543%50%
23.536%45%
24.530%40%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 12.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Indy Elevenwe expect 9.7, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 28%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.580%70%
2.558%55%
3.536%36%
4.519%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rhode Island FCwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Indy Elevenwe expect 1.7, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 51%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

League position

Eastern Conference

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Rhode Island FC271151139:3038
9Indy Eleven28971234:3634
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven?

Rhode Island FC 1-0 Indy Eleven (half time 1-0).

Did the Rhode Island FC vs Indy Eleven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Fouls – Indy Eleven: Under 10.5. The tip lost.