Sacramento Republic 5-0 Sporting Jax: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Papa Murphy's Park, Sacramento, CA

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (49% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won39%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSacramento Republic157272%58%Draw17%23%Sporting Jax136011%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.561%51%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Sacramento Republic : Sporting Jax
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-09%1-19%2-19%3-09%0-0—Attack/defence2-011%1-012%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-011%1-01-09%1-012%1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-07%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%82%82%
12 – no draw83%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals83%75%75%
1 – Sacramento Republic win72%58% · Elo 58%58%· Elo 58%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals61%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals61%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no50%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals39%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals39%29%29%
X2 – away team avoid defeat28%42%42%
X – draw17%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals17%25%25%
2 – Sporting Jax win11%18% · Elo 19%18%· Elo 19%
Attack vs defence
Sacramento Republic attack vs Sporting Jax defenceattack1501defence1379+122 pts to the attack
Sporting Jax attack vs Sacramento Republic defenceattack1493defence1615−122 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sporting Jax concede 2.8 goals per game
  • Sporting Jax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sporting Jax: newly promoted
  • Sacramento Republic: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sporting Jax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sacramento RepublicWestern Conference281112538:2645
13Sporting JaxEastern Conference27351932:7314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Sporting Jax?

Sacramento Republic 5-0 Sporting Jax (half time 4-0).

Did the Sacramento Republic vs Sporting Jax tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.