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WTA 125 CourmayeurQuarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Aksu vs Noha Akugue 0:2: result and our tips

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Ayla AksuWTA #159Elo 1716hard 1726
0:2final4:6 1:6
Noma Noha AkugueWTA #126Elo 1628hard 1610

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: Noha AkugueWon60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Aksu lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Noha Akugue won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ayla Aksu40%
Noma Noha Akugue60%

Elo: A. Aksu 66% · N. Noha Akugue 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Aksu22%
2:1 A. Aksu17%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue21%
2:0 N. Noha Akugue40%

First set

Ayla Aksu40%
Noma Noha Akugue60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%53%
20.553%47%46%
21.548%52%41%
22.542%58%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 2,479 matches

Games handicap

N. Noha Akugue −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ayla AksuNoma Noha Akugue
1Aces5
2Double faults4
56%First serves in50%
49%First-serve points won75%
42%Second-serve points won50%
2/4Break points converted5/11
3/8Service games held7/9
47%Service points won63%
38%Return points won53%
49Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. AksuTourN. Noha Akugue
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held62%63%61%
Breaks of serve38%37%40%
Aces per service game0.120.18
Double faults per game0.330.31
Sets with a tie-break7%9%
Tie-breaks won2/47/9
Wins in straight sets53%86%
Matches in the sample2642

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ayla Aksu

Noma Noha Akugue

  • 28/10/26WLinda Klimovičová#264WTA 125 Courmayeur · R166:4 6:3
  • 27/10/26WDanka Kovinic#858WTA 125 Courmayeur · R327:6 6:1
  • 13/10/26LRebeka Masarova#158WTA 125 Mallorca · R324:6 3:6
  • 07/10/26LLucrezia Stefanini#118WTA 125 Samsun · R162:6 3:6
  • 06/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26WElena Micic#289WTA 125 Samsun · Q27:5 6:3
  • 04/10/26WIlay Yoruk#736WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:4
  • 28/09/26LFiona Crawley#205WTA 125 Adana · R323:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:4 3:6 0:6
  • 15/09/26WAyana Akli#273WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:3 6:0

Elo over the last year

Ayla AksuNoma Noha Akugue

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. AksuN. Noha Akugue
Hard court13–959%9–660%
Clay2–250%12–1250%
Grass0–01–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ayla Aksu

Noma Noha Akugue

See also