WTA 125 CourmayeurRound of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Stefanini vs Aksu: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 28mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini69%
Ayla Aksu31%
Elo: L. Stefanini 54% · A. Aksu 46%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Stefanini46%
2:1 L. Stefanini21%
2:1 A. Aksu14%
2:0 A. Aksu20%
First set
Lucrezia Stefanini63%
Ayla Aksu37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 70% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 60% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 53% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 46% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 65% | 33% |
Sample: 2,048 matches
Games handicap
L. Stefanini −3.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes22%
tour average 21%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Stefanini | Tour | A. Aksu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 53% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 48% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 57% | 63% | 63% |
| Breaks of serve | 44% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.04 | 0.12 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.33 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/11 | 2/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 25 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lucrezia Stefanini
- 27/10/26WIsabella Maria Serban#465WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:3 6:2
- 16/10/26LBianca Andreescu#129WTA 125 Rovereto · QF2:6 5:7
- 14/10/26WHarmony Tan#200WTA 125 Rovereto · R166:2 6:3
- 13/10/26WLaura Mair#441WTA 125 Rovereto · R323:6 6:2 7:5
- 11/10/26LAyla Aksu#159WTA 125 Samsun · F5:7 6:2 2:6
- 10/10/26WAnna Blinkova#73WTA 125 Samsun · SF6:2 6:3
- 09/10/26WPolina Iatcenko#147WTA 125 Samsun · QF6:3 7:5
- 07/10/26WNoma Noha Akugue#126WTA 125 Samsun · R166:2 6:3
- 06/10/26WCarole Monnet#243WTA 125 Samsun · R327:5 6:4
- 02/10/26LLeolia Jeanjean#90WTA 125 Adana · QF4:6 6:1 1:6
Ayla Aksu
- 26/10/26WLisa Zaar#283WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:4 6:3
- 11/10/26WLucrezia Stefanini#118WTA 125 Samsun · F7:5 2:6 6:2
- 10/10/26WHimeno Sakatsume#114WTA 125 Samsun · SF7:5 6:3
- 09/10/26WFiona Crawley#205WTA 125 Samsun · QF3:6 6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WAlicia Dudeney#209WTA 125 Samsun · R163:6 6:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WEmiliana Arango#157WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LElena Pridankina#190WTA 125 Adana · R323:6 3:6
- 23/09/26LHan Shi#162WTA 125 Ankara · R161:6 7:5 2:6
- 21/09/26WYuki Naito#246WTA 125 Ankara · R326:1 7:6
- 15/09/26LElena Malygina#286WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:4 5:7 5:7
Elo over the last year
Lucrezia StefaniniAyla Aksu
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Stefanini | A. Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1758% | 12–957% |
| Clay | 1–420% | 2–250% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Stefanini 1–1 A. Aksu
- 11/10/26Winner: A. Aksu5:7 6:2 2:6
- 24/08/26Winner: L. Stefanini6:2 6:3
Road through the tournament
Lucrezia Stefanini
- 27/10/26WIsabella Maria Serban#465WTA 125 Courmayeur · R326:3 6:2