Báez vs Dzumhur 2:0: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 64%
No tie-break in recent matches: Baez 16 of 20, Dzumhur 14 of 20 (tour average 61%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: DzumhurLost63%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dzumhur won 7 of the last 10 matches; Baez lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Báez 52% · D. Dzumhur 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
Sample: 5,632 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:0
- Total games Over 21.5in · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Sebastián Báez | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 5 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 77% | First serves in | 65% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 56% |
| 61% | Second-serve points won | 49% |
| 5/13 | Break points converted | 4/12 |
| 8/12 | Service games held | 7/12 |
| 59% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 41% |
| 96 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Báez | Tour | D. Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 12/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 57 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastián Báez
- 24/10/26LGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#148ATP Basel · Q13:6 6:3 3:6
- 20/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · R323:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LValentin Vacherot#31ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 08/10/26WMarcos Giron#88ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26LJuncheng Shang#250ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Chengdu · R325:7 5:7
- 31/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP US Open · R1282:6 1:6 0:6
- 26/08/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Winston Salem · R162:6 0:4
- 25/08/26WHugo Grenier#403ATP Winston Salem · R327:5 7:6
- 24/08/26LHubert Hurkacz#28Challenger Cancun · F6:4 0:6 3:6
Damir Dzumhur
- 22/10/26LZizou Bergs#39ATP Brussels · R162:6 4:6
- 21/10/26WDino Prizmic#93ATP Brussels · R327:6 2:6 6:2
- 18/10/26WJacob Fearnley#86Challenger Olbia · F7:6 6:3
- 17/10/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#213Challenger Olbia · SF6:1 7:5
- 16/10/26WTom Gentzsch#164Challenger Olbia · QF6:0 6:3
- 15/10/26WDimitar Kuzmanov#358Challenger Olbia · R160:6 7:6 6:0
- 13/10/26WAziz Dougaz#379Challenger Olbia · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 08/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Villena · R165:7 6:3 3:6
- 07/10/26WGeorgii Kravchenko#305Challenger Villena · R327:5 6:3
- 30/09/26LMoez Echargui#350Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 0:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Báez | D. Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1450% | 11–1346% |
| Clay | 17–1455% | 13–1645% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–250% |
Head to head
S. Báez 3–1 D. Dzumhur
- 26/04/25Winner: D. Dzumhur6:1 1:6 2:6
- 15/04/25Winner: S. Báez6:1 7:5
- 01/03/25Winner: S. Báez6:4 6:4
- 12/05/21Winner: S. Báez6:7 6:1 7:5