WTA 125 SuzhouQuarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Bai vs Okamura 0:2: result and our tips

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Zhuoxuan BaiWTA #200Elo 1710hard 1709
0:2final1:6 6:7(3)
Kyoka OkamuraWTA #244Elo 1666hard 1666

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zhuoxuan Bai72%
Kyoka Okamura28%

Elo: Z. Bai 56% · K. Okamura 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Bai49%
2:1 Z. Bai20%
2:1 K. Okamura14%
2:0 K. Okamura17%

First set

Zhuoxuan Bai65%
Kyoka Okamura35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.564%36%61%
19.556%44%53%
20.548%52%46%
21.542%58%41%
22.538%62%37%
23.535%66%33%

Sample: 1,792 matches

Games handicap

Zhuoxuan Bai −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Zhuoxuan BaiKyoka Okamura
2Aces0
3Double faults0
74%First serves in69%
66%First-serve points won70%
28%Second-serve points won89%
0/2Break points converted3/8
7/10Service games held9/9
56%Service points won76%
24%Return points won44%
52Total points won74

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. BaiTourK. Okamura
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held67%63%66%
Breaks of serve40%37%36%
Aces per service game0.190.22
Double faults per game0.250.26
Sets with a tie-break8%19%
Tie-breaks won2/43/8
Wins in straight sets57%60%
Matches in the sample2119

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zhuoxuan Bai

Kyoka Okamura

  • 07/10/26WTatiana Prozorova#117WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:4 3:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26WDarja Vidmanova#90WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:2 6:7 6:1
  • 05/10/26WSijia Wei#383WTA 125 Suzhou · Q26:3 6:2
  • 04/10/26WPriska Madelyn Nugroho#370WTA 125 Suzhou · Q16:3 7:6
  • 02/10/26LEmerson Jones#122WTA 125 Jingshan · QF6:7 6:7
  • 01/10/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:7 6:1 6:3
  • 29/09/26WRu Xi Wu#933WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:2 6:4
  • 21/09/26LLeylah Fernandez#25WTA Singapore · R322:6 3:6
  • 20/09/26WMei Yamaguchi#257WTA Singapore · Q26:1 6:1
  • 19/09/26WEva Marie Desvignes#873WTA Singapore · Q17:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Zhuoxuan BaiKyoka Okamura

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. BaiK. Okamura
Hard court13–668%10–953%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Zhuoxuan Bai

Kyoka Okamura