Challenger NingboChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Bar Biryukov vs Sun: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 14h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Petr Bar Biryukov33%
Fajing Sun67%
Elo: P. Bar Biryukov 50% · F. Sun 50%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 P. Bar Biryukov19%
2:1 P. Bar Biryukov14%
2:1 F. Sun22%
2:0 F. Sun45%
First set
Petr Bar Biryukov38%
Fajing Sun62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,284 matches
Games handicap
F. Sun −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes44%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| P. Bar Biryukov | Tour | F. Sun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 32% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.83 | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/28 | 7/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 52 | 60 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Petr Bar Biryukov
- 27/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 7:6 6:4
- 17/10/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#132ATP Almaty · Q12:6 3:6
- 11/10/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Jinan · Q11:6 2:6
- 01/10/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R164:6 1:6
- 30/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#433Challenger Jingshan · R327:5 6:4
- 23/09/26LAlexandre Muller#130ATP Chengdu · Q24:6 4:6
- 22/09/26WAndre Ilagan#199ATP Chengdu · Q17:6 7:6
- 19/09/26LMarat Sharipov#223Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF5:7 3:6
- 18/09/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#408Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF7:6 4:6 7:6
- 17/09/26WNaoya Honda#637Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:4
Fajing Sun
- 27/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 6:3 7:5
- 22/10/26LKeegan Smith#185Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:3 4:6 6:7
- 20/10/26WQian Sun#890Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:2
- 13/10/26LJie Cui#393Challenger Jinan · R323:6 5:7
- 09/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#360Challenger Wuning 3 · QF3:6 4:6
- 08/10/26WKasidit Samrej#368Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 7:5
- 06/10/26WAoran WangChallenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 1:0
- 29/09/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:6 3:6
- 24/09/26LRoman Safiullin#69ATP Hangzhou · R322:6 0:6
- 23/09/26WBernard Tomic#179ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:5
Elo over the last year
Petr Bar BiryukovFajing Sun
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| P. Bar Biryukov | F. Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–2053% | 28–2553% |
| Clay | 2–529% | 3–350% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 0–10% |
Head to head
P. Bar Biryukov 1–0 F. Sun
- 20/01/26Winner: P. Bar Biryukov6:4 6:3
Road through the tournament
Petr Bar Biryukov
- 27/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 7:6 6:4
Fajing Sun
- 27/10/26WHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 6:3 7:5