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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Basavareddy vs Karol 2:0: result and our tips

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Nishesh BasavareddyATP #128Elo 1865hard 1830
2:0final6:3 6:3
Milos KarolATP #597Elo 1576hard 1564

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: BasavareddyWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Basavareddy won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Karol lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Nishesh Basavareddy76%
Milos Karol24%

Elo: N. Basavareddy 82% · M. Karol 18%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Basavareddy54%
2:1 N. Basavareddy22%
2:1 M. Karol11%
2:0 M. Karol14%

First set

Nishesh Basavareddy70%
Milos Karol30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%35%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.534%66%35%

Sample: 3,754 matches

Games handicap

N. Basavareddy −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Nishesh BasavareddyMilos Karol
5Aces7
2Double faults2
65%First serves in69%
84%First-serve points won66%
65%Second-serve points won38%
3/5Break points converted0/3
9/9Service games held6/9
78%Service points won57%
43%Return points won22%
60Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. BasavareddyTourM. Karol
Service points won63%62%65%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held81%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%19%
Aces per service game0.400.82
Double faults per game0.340.38
Sets with a tie-break14%22%
Tie-breaks won10/187/16
Wins in straight sets62%50%
Matches in the sample5230

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Nishesh Basavareddy

Milos Karol

Elo over the last year

Nishesh BasavareddyMilos Karol

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. BasavareddyM. Karol
Hard court21–1264%5–456%
Clay13–668%9–1243%

Head to head

They have not met yet.