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WTA OsakaWTA 250Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Boulter vs Siniaková 0:2: result and our tips

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Katie BoulterWTA #48Elo 1855hard 1831
0:2final1:6 4:6
Kateřina SiniakováWTA #49Elo 1916hard 1895

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Katie Boulter39%
Kateřina Siniaková61%

Elo: K. Boulter 41% · K. Siniaková 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Boulter25%
2:1 K. Boulter17%
2:1 K. Siniaková22%
2:0 K. Siniaková37%

First set

Katie Boulter44%
Kateřina Siniaková56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,428 matches

Games handicap

K. Siniaková −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Katie BoulterKateřina Siniaková
1Aces0
6Double faults4
65%First serves in56%
54%First-serve points won76%
30%Second-serve points won39%
2/3Break points converted5/15
3/8Service games held7/9
46%Service points won60%
40%Return points won55%
51Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. BoulterTourK. Siniaková
Service points won56%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held66%63%68%
Breaks of serve36%37%36%
Aces per service game0.220.18
Double faults per game0.500.41
Sets with a tie-break9%8%
Tie-breaks won5/104/8
Wins in straight sets56%76%
Matches in the sample4640

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Katie Boulter

Kateřina Siniaková

Elo over the last year

Katie BoulterKateřina Siniaková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. BoulterK. Siniaková
Hard court17–1259%13–1252%
Clay5–645%4–450%
Grass3–350%4–357%

Head to head

K. Boulter 1–0 K. Siniaková

  • 22/04/25Winner: K. Boulter4:6 6:2 6:1

Road through the tournament

Katie Boulter

Kateřina Siniaková