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ATP Basel500Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Brunold vs Bertola 0:2: result and our tips

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Mika BrunoldATP #191Elo 1885hard 1864
0:2final6:7(5) 4:6
Remy BertolaATP #236Elo 1696hard 1661

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Brunold: 7 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Brunold 13 of 20, Bertola 13 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: BrunoldLost56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Brunold won the first set in 16 of the last 20 matches, Bertola lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Brunold: 5 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mika Brunold59%
Remy Bertola41%

Elo: M. Brunold 76% · R. Bertola 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Brunold37%
2:1 M. Brunold21%
2:1 R. Bertola19%
2:0 R. Bertola24%

First set

Mika Brunold56%
Remy Bertola44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%35%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.551%49%46%
23.545%55%40%
24.543%57%38%
25.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,917 matches

Games handicap

M. Brunold −1.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Mika BrunoldRemy Bertola
2Aces4
1Double faults3
73%First serves in59%
60%First-serve points won75%
57%Second-serve points won52%
2/4Break points converted3/5
8/11Service games held9/11
59%Service points won65%
35%Return points won41%
78Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BrunoldTourR. Bertola
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held79%76%77%
Breaks of serve28%24%23%
Aces per service game0.270.44
Double faults per game0.190.33
Sets with a tie-break18%20%
Tie-breaks won15/2015/31
Wins in straight sets61%59%
Matches in the sample4766

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mika Brunold

Remy Bertola

Elo over the last year

Mika BrunoldRemy Bertola

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BrunoldR. Bertola
Hard court9–375%17–1947%
Clay24–1169%10–1050%
Grass0–07–370%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Mika Brunold

Remy Bertola

See also