Cobolli vs Dimitrov 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Cobolli 51% · G. Dimitrov 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 67% | 33% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,423 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Flavio Cobolli | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Aces | 10 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 64% | First serves in | 67% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 49% | Second-serve points won | 53% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 13/14 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 67% | Service points won | 66% |
| 34% | Return points won | 33% |
| 95 | Total points won | 95 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cobolli | Tour | G. Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/28 | 5/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 30 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Flavio Cobolli
- 24/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#26ATP Lyon · SF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 23/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 22/10/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP Lyon · R166:2 6:4
- 09/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#73ATP Shanghai · R641:6 6:4 3:6
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#69ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#141ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#128ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26LArthur Fils#8ATP Cincinnati · SF3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Cincinnati · QF2:6 6:3 6:4
Grigor Dimitrov
- 22/09/26LEdas Butvilas#208Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:7 3:6
- 31/08/26LAlexei Popyrin#127ATP US Open · R1286:3 3:6 2:6 4:6
- 26/08/26WTimofey Skatov#200ATP US Open · Q27:6 6:4
- 25/08/26WLorenzo Giustino#229ATP US Open · Q16:0 6:3
- 14/08/26LSebastián Báez#49ATP Cincinnati · R1286:1 3:6 4:6
- 15/07/26LNuno Borges#53ATP Bastad · R164:6 2:6
- 14/07/26WDalibor Svrcina#120ATP Bastad · R327:6 1:6 6:4
- 06/07/26LArthur Fery#35ATP Wimbledon · R165:7 6:3 6:4 4:6 6:7
- 04/07/26WMatteo Berrettini#48ATP Wimbledon · R326:3 6:4 3:6 5:7 6:3
- 02/07/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP Wimbledon · R647:6 4:6 7:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cobolli | G. Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1453% | 4–931% |
| Clay | 14–767% | 1–614% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 7–370% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.