Cobolli vs Musetti 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: F. Cobolli 44% · L. Musetti 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,552 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 23.0in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Flavio Cobolli | Lorenzo Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 5 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 61% | First serves in | 64% |
| 76% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 54% |
| 1/9 | Break points converted | 3/3 |
| 12/15 | Service games held | 14/15 |
| 64% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 36% |
| 88 | Total points won | 101 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Cobolli | Tour | L. Musetti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/28 | 6/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 57 | 45 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Flavio Cobolli
- 23/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
- 22/10/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP Lyon · R166:2 6:4
- 09/10/26LAdrian Mannarino#73ATP Shanghai · R641:6 6:4 3:6
- 01/10/26LRoman Safiullin#69ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · R327:6 3:6 0:6 3:6
- 03/09/26WTristan Schoolkate#141ATP US Open · R643:6 6:3 6:4 7:5
- 01/09/26WFrancisco Comesana#128ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 6:3 6:4 6:4
- 22/08/26LArthur Fils#8ATP Cincinnati · SF3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26WTommy Paul#14ATP Cincinnati · QF2:6 6:3 6:4
- 19/08/26WRafael Jodar#11ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 7:6 6:3
Lorenzo Musetti
- 23/10/26WLuca Van Assche#46ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:7 6:4
- 21/10/26WMoise Kouame#176ATP Lyon · R166:4 6:4
- 19/10/26WMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Lyon · R326:1 6:4
- 09/10/26LYi Zhou#256ATP Shanghai · R646:7 6:3 6:7
- 03/09/26LDane Sweeny#112ATP US Open · R646:3 1:6 2:6 2:6
- 01/09/26WArthur Fery#35ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:3 7:5
- 21/08/26LFrances Tiafoe#9ATP Cincinnati · QF6:7 5:7
- 20/08/26WJaime Faria#57ATP Cincinnati · R167:5 6:2
- 18/08/26WMichael Zheng#101ATP Cincinnati · R326:1 6:3
- 16/08/26WDaniel Altmaier#60ATP Cincinnati · R646:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Cobolli | L. Musetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1357% | 22–1363% |
| Clay | 14–767% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 4–267% | 0–0 |
Head to head
F. Cobolli 0–1 L. Musetti
- 30/08/25Winner: L. Musetti3:6 2:6 0:2
Road through the tournament
Flavio Cobolli
- 22/10/26WStan Wawrinka#151ATP Lyon · R166:2 6:4
- 23/10/26WBrandon Nakashima#17ATP Lyon · QF4:6 6:4 6:4
Lorenzo Musetti
- 19/10/26WMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Lyon · R326:1 6:4
- 21/10/26WMoise Kouame#176ATP Lyon · R166:4 6:4
- 23/10/26WLuca Van Assche#46ATP Lyon · QF7:6 6:7 6:4