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Challenger Bratislava 2Challenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Coppejans vs Forejtek 2:0: result and our tips

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Kimmer CoppejansATP #225Elo 1711hard 1679
2:0final6:4 7:5
Jonas ForejtekATP #308Elo 1715hard 1672

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: ForejtekLost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Coppejans lost 8 of the last 10 matches; Forejtek won 7 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Coppejans: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games; Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Coppejans 19 of 20, Forejtek 10 of 20 (tour average 63%)

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Coppejans: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kimmer Coppejans39%
Jonas Forejtek61%

Elo: K. Coppejans 51% · J. Forejtek 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Coppejans23%
2:1 K. Coppejans16%
2:1 J. Forejtek21%
2:0 J. Forejtek39%

First set

Kimmer Coppejans42%
Jonas Forejtek58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 6,020 matches

Games handicap

J. Forejtek −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kimmer CoppejansJonas Forejtek
4Aces7
1Double faults0
68%First serves in60%
76%First-serve points won81%
58%Second-serve points won36%
3/4Break points converted1/1
10/11Service games held8/11
70%Service points won63%
37%Return points won30%
65Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. CoppejansTourJ. Forejtek
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won42%38%40%
Service games held71%76%77%
Breaks of serve33%24%28%
Aces per service game0.310.31
Double faults per game0.290.14
Sets with a tie-break14%17%
Tie-breaks won8/2111/23
Wins in straight sets68%56%
Matches in the sample6756

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kimmer Coppejans

Jonas Forejtek

Elo over the last year

Kimmer CoppejansJonas Forejtek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. CoppejansJ. Forejtek
Hard court10–1148%7–370%
Clay26–1859%25–2154%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kimmer Coppejans

First match in this tournament.

Jonas Forejtek