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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Dart vs Prozorova 2:1: result and our tips

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Harriet DartWTA #115Elo 1691hard 1703
2:1final6:4 2:6 6:2
Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #123Elo 1798hard 1787

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 10 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 10 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Dart 9 of 20, Prozorova 13 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harriet Dart44%
Tatiana Prozorova56%

Elo: H. Dart 38% · T. Prozorova 62%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Dart29%
2:1 H. Dart18%
2:1 T. Prozorova20%
2:0 T. Prozorova33%

First set

Harriet Dart48%
Tatiana Prozorova52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 48%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,428 matches

Games handicap

T. Prozorova −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Harriet DartTatiana Prozorova
3Aces3
5Double faults4
63%First serves in65%
65%First-serve points won67%
40%Second-serve points won30%
6/14Break points converted5/11
8/13Service games held7/13
56%Service points won54%
46%Return points won44%
84Total points won82

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. DartTourT. Prozorova
Service points won55%56%59%
Return points won47%44%45%
Service games held60%63%67%
Breaks of serve45%37%41%
Aces per service game0.190.20
Double faults per game0.400.22
Sets with a tie-break8%7%
Tie-breaks won2/72/6
Wins in straight sets37%58%
Matches in the sample3338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harriet Dart

Tatiana Prozorova

Elo over the last year

Harriet DartTatiana Prozorova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. DartT. Prozorova
Hard court17–868%20–1067%
Clay1–150%1–233%
Grass1–517%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Harriet Dart

Tatiana Prozorova

See also