Donald vs Romano 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Romano: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%
Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 58%
Romano: 7 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 45% → with the players' profiles 43%
Donald: 3 matches in a row over 22.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Donald 73% · F. Romano 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 61% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 4,538 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| M. W. Donald | Filippo Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 5 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 58% | First serves in | 55% |
| 51% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 63% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 4/10 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/9 |
| 52% | Service points won | 68% |
| 32% | Return points won | 48% |
| 50 | Total points won | 67 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Donald | Tour | F. Romano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 37% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.46 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.47 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 11/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
M. W. Donald
- 22/10/26WHenry Searle#217Challenger Florence · R166:4 7:6
- 20/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#329Challenger Florence · R326:4 5:7 6:3
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#612Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 03/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#372Challenger Bari · SF3:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WMartin Krumich#289Challenger Bari · QF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 01/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#229Challenger Bari · R166:7 6:3 3:1
- 29/09/26WOlle Wallin#417Challenger Bari · R326:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#537Challenger Bari · Q27:5 7:6
- 27/09/26WCarles Cordoba#764Challenger Bari · Q16:1 6:1
Filippo Romano
- 22/10/26WYanaki Milev#526Challenger Florence · R166:3 6:3
- 20/10/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Florence · R326:3 6:2
- 13/10/26LAndrej Nedic#235Challenger Maia · R326:7 3:6
- 29/09/26LHarry Wendelken#212Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 1:6
- 28/09/26WRyan Peniston#884Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q26:2 6:3
- 27/09/26WKenny De SchepperChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
- 21/09/26LRaul Brancaccio#219Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:7 2:6
- 14/09/26LPetr Brunclik#426Challenger Biella · R326:7 6:7
- 07/09/26LDuje Ajdukovic#380Challenger Genoa · R322:6 5:7
- 12/08/26LJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Todi · R162:6 6:2 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Donald | F. Romano | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 11–473% |
| Clay | 20–1263% | 11–1444% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 9–564% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
M. W. Donald
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#612Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 20/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#329Challenger Florence · R326:4 5:7 6:3
- 22/10/26WHenry Searle#217Challenger Florence · R166:4 7:6
Filippo Romano
- 20/10/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Florence · R326:3 6:2
- 22/10/26WYanaki Milev#526Challenger Florence · R166:3 6:3