Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets
Searle vs Donald: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 51mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Henry Searle47%
M. W. Donald53%
Elo: H. Searle 39% · M. Donald 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 H. Searle28%
2:1 H. Searle19%
2:1 M. Donald20%
2:0 M. Donald33%
First set
Henry Searle47%
M. W. Donald53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,490 matches
Games handicap
M. W. Donald −1.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Searle | Tour | M. Donald | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 71% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.47 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 4/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Henry Searle
- 20/10/26WMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Florence · R326:2 7:6
- 13/10/26LMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Catania · R327:6 2:6 2:6
- 26/09/26LDylan Dietrich#252Challenger San Diego 2 · QF3:6 5:7
- 23/09/26WLiam Draxl#197Challenger San Diego 2 · R167:6 2:6 6:4
- 22/09/26WEvan Zhu#462Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:3 6:7 6:3
- 15/09/26LTimo Legout#351Challenger Tiburon · R321:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LMichael Antonius#621ATP US Open · Q11:6 2:6
- 12/08/26LMees Rottgering#331Challenger Brownsburg · R325:7 3:6
- 03/08/26LLloyd Harris#104Challenger Lexington · R325:7 6:2 3:6
- 12/07/26WClement Chidekh#152Challenger Nottingham 3 · F6:4 6:4
M. W. Donald
- 20/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Florence · R326:4 5:7 6:3
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 03/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Bari · SF3:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Bari · QF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 01/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Bari · R166:7 6:3 3:1
- 29/09/26WOlle Wallin#413Challenger Bari · R326:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#555Challenger Bari · Q27:5 7:6
- 27/09/26WCarles Cordoba#780Challenger Bari · Q16:1 6:1
- 23/09/26LDali Blanch#320Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Henry SearleM. W. Donald
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Searle | M. Donald | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–947% | 2–167% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 19–1261% |
| Grass | 11–192% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Henry Searle
- 20/10/26WMassimo Giunta#365Challenger Florence · R326:2 7:6
M. W. Donald
- 18/10/26WGabriele PennafortiChallenger Florence · Q16:2 6:1
- 19/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#610Challenger Florence · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
- 20/10/26WCarlos Sanchez Jover#325Challenger Florence · R326:4 5:7 6:3