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WTA ChennaiWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Falei vs Zolotareva 2:1: result and our tips

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Aliona FaleiWTA #196Elo 1624hard 1614
2:1final6:4 4:6 7:5
Rada ZolotarevaWTA #340Elo 1580hard 1540

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aliona Falei68%
Rada Zolotareva32%

Elo: A. Falei 61% · R. Zolotareva 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Falei45%
2:1 A. Falei21%
2:1 R. Zolotareva15%
2:0 R. Zolotareva19%

First set

Aliona Falei64%
Rada Zolotareva37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%24%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%

Sample: 2,137 matches

Games handicap

A. Falei −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aliona FaleiRada Zolotareva
1Aces1
5Double faults6
61%First serves in72%
48%First-serve points won53%
54%Second-serve points won37%
8/12Break points converted7/12
9/16Service games held8/16
51%Service points won48%
52%Return points won50%
100Total points won96

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. FaleiTourR. Zolotareva
Service points won54%56%55%
Return points won46%44%48%
Service games held58%63%61%
Breaks of serve40%37%44%
Aces per service game0.230.14
Double faults per game0.420.30
Sets with a tie-break12%16%
Tie-breaks won4/53/3
Wins in straight sets44%50%
Matches in the sample188

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aliona Falei

Rada Zolotareva

  • 31/10/26WMariia Tkacheva#628WTA Chennai · Q16:1 2:1
  • 07/09/26LIpek Oz#269WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q27:6 4:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26WAneta Laboutkova#402WTA 125 Antalya 4 · Q17:6 6:4
  • 01/05/26LHanyu Guo#188WTA 125 Huzhou · QF2:6 1:6
  • 30/04/26WXinxin Yao#268WTA 125 Huzhou · R167:6 2:6 6:3
  • 28/04/26WDespina Papamichail#203WTA 125 Huzhou · R324:6 6:1 6:2
  • 27/04/26WZhang-Qian WeiWTA 125 Huzhou · Q26:3 6:1
  • 26/04/26WQiu Yu YeWTA 125 Huzhou · Q16:3 7:5

Elo over the last year

Aliona FaleiRada Zolotareva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. FaleiR. Zolotareva
Hard court9–756%1–0100%
Clay0–20%5–271%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Aliona Falei

Rada Zolotareva