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WTA NingboWTA 500Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Fernandez vs Bouzková 2:0: result and our tips

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Leylah FernandezWTA #23Elo 1942hard 1938
2:0final6:3 7:5
Marie BouzkováWTA #24Elo 1938hard 1894

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Fernandez: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Fernandez 14 of 20, Bouzkova 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Fernandez: 4 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leylah Fernandez49%
Marie Bouzková51%

Elo: L. Fernandez 56% · M. Bouzková 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Fernandez31%
2:1 L. Fernandez19%
2:1 M. Bouzková19%
2:0 M. Bouzková32%

First set

Leylah Fernandez50%
Marie Bouzková50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,287 matches

Games handicap

M. Bouzková −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Leylah FernandezMarie Bouzková
3Aces0
3Double faults2
67%First serves in68%
51%First-serve points won42%
52%Second-serve points won40%
8/18Break points converted5/15
5/10Service games held3/11
52%Service points won41%
59%Return points won48%
79Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. FernandezTourM. Bouzková
Service points won59%56%59%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held71%63%70%
Breaks of serve34%37%38%
Aces per service game0.230.17
Double faults per game0.420.32
Sets with a tie-break12%14%
Tie-breaks won3/168/17
Wins in straight sets63%74%
Matches in the sample5656

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leylah Fernandez

Marie Bouzková

Elo over the last year

Leylah FernandezMarie Bouzková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. FernandezM. Bouzková
Hard court21–1558%17–1553%
Clay8–753%9–469%
Grass1–420%9–282%

Head to head

L. Fernandez 0–1 M. Bouzková

  • 05/08/19Winner: M. Bouzková0:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Leylah Fernandez

Marie Bouzková

See also