Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ficovich vs Meligeni Alves: prediction and tips

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Juan Pablo FicovichATP #369Elo 1519clay 1537
-:-
Felipe Meligeni AlvesATP #396Elo 1682clay 1701

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 22.562%

Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 62%

Meligeni Alves: 12 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.566%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Meligeni Alves: 12 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Match Winner: Meligeni Alves77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ficovich lost 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.543%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Meligeni Alves: 9 matches in a row under 19.5 games; Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Ficovich 7 of 20, Meligeni Alves 14 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Juan Pablo Ficovich24%
Felipe Meligeni Alves77%

Elo: J. Ficovich 28% · F. Meligeni Alves 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Ficovich13%
2:1 J. Ficovich11%
2:1 F. Meligeni Alves22%
2:0 F. Meligeni Alves53%

First set

Juan Pablo Ficovich30%
Felipe Meligeni Alves70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%76%
18.566%34%68%
19.557%43%59%
20.550%50%52%
21.545%55%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,928 matches

Games handicap

Felipe Meligeni Alves −4.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FicovichTourF. Meligeni Alves
Service points won61%62%61%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held71%76%75%
Breaks of serve27%24%27%
Aces per service game0.380.32
Double faults per game0.210.15
Sets with a tie-break13%14%
Tie-breaks won4/136/11
Wins in straight sets60%72%
Matches in the sample4136

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Elo over the last year

Juan Pablo FicovichFelipe Meligeni Alves

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FicovichF. Meligeni Alves
Hard court7–1139%2–340%
Clay7–1139%16–1453%
Grass1–420%0–10%

Head to head

J. Ficovich 1–2 F. Meligeni Alves

  • 24/10/24Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves6:7 6:4 3:6
  • 28/03/23Winner: Felipe Meligeni Alves3:6 3:6
  • 11/01/22Winner: Juan Pablo Ficovich6:4 6:4

Road through the tournament

Juan Pablo Ficovich

First match in this tournament.

Felipe Meligeni Alves