Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Friend vs Seggerman 2:0: result and our tips

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Jay FriendATP #260Elo 1803hard 1791
2:0final7:6(5) 6:2
Ryan SeggermanATP #620Elo 1666hard 1636

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won73%

Where the number comes from: market alone 67% → with the players' profiles 73%

Seggerman: 10 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: FriendWon62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Friend won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 34%

Seggerman: 3 matches in a row over 26.5 games; Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Friend 5 of 20, Seggerman 11 of 20 (tour average 27%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jay Friend62%
Ryan Seggerman38%

Elo: J. Friend 71% · R. Seggerman 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Friend40%
2:1 J. Friend22%
2:1 R. Seggerman16%
2:0 R. Seggerman22%

First set

Jay Friend59%
Ryan Seggerman41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,658 matches

Games handicap

Jay Friend −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Jay FriendRyan Seggerman
6Aces16
1Double faults6
51%First serves in62%
91%First-serve points won83%
61%Second-serve points won36%
2/4Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held8/10
76%Service points won65%
35%Return points won24%
71Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. FriendTourR. Seggerman
Service points won64%62%66%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held81%76%85%
Breaks of serve24%24%18%
Aces per service game0.431.04
Double faults per game0.290.30
Sets with a tie-break17%29%
Tie-breaks won12/1810/22
Wins in straight sets62%42%
Matches in the sample4430

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jay Friend

Ryan Seggerman

Elo over the last year

Jay FriendRyan Seggerman

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. FriendR. Seggerman
Hard court29–1566%9–660%
Clay0–09–469%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Jay Friend

Ryan Seggerman

See also