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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Geerts vs Martin Manzano: prediction and tips

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Michael GeertsATP #356Elo 1590hard 1598
-:-
Juan Cruz Martin ManzanoATP #383Elo 1681hard 1590

Our tips

Tip in 1d 12h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Michael Geerts75%
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano25%

Elo: M. Geerts 51% · J. Martin Manzano 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Geerts53%
2:1 M. Geerts22%
2:1 J. Martin Manzano11%
2:0 J. Martin Manzano14%

First set

Michael Geerts69%
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.552%48%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.535%65%37%

Sample: 4,019 matches

Games handicap

M. Geerts −4.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. GeertsTourJ. Martin Manzano
Service points won63%62%58%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held78%76%69%
Breaks of serve23%24%33%
Aces per service game0.410.27
Double faults per game0.290.33
Sets with a tie-break21%5%
Tie-breaks won10/191/4
Wins in straight sets68%65%
Matches in the sample3938

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Michael Geerts

  • 27/10/26LMatisse Bobichon#487Challenger Brest · R326:7 3:6
  • 26/10/26WNiels McDonald#477Challenger Brest · Q24:6 6:4 6:3
  • 25/10/26WLeo Raquillet#703Challenger Brest · Q16:0 6:1
  • 13/10/26LPavel Lagutin#389Challenger Catania · R324:6 1:6
  • 30/09/26LEdas Butvilas#209Challenger Porto 2 · R324:6 1:6
  • 28/09/26WJoao Domingues#559Challenger Porto 2 · Q23:6 6:4 7:6
  • 27/09/26WVladyslav Orlov#521Challenger Porto 2 · Q17:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#331Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 5:7
  • 25/08/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/08/26LLucas Poullain#327Challenger Roehampton · QF7:6 3:6 5:7

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Elo over the last year

Michael GeertsJuan Cruz Martin Manzano

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. GeertsJ. Martin Manzano
Hard court18–1653%0–0
Clay1–420%20–1853%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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