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Challenger OrleansChallenger 175Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Gobat vs Altmaier: prediction and tips

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Adrien GobatATP #851Elo 1497hard 1494
-:-awaiting result
Daniel AltmaierATP #73Elo 1892hard 1831

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.572%

Where the number comes from: market alone 68% → with the players' profiles 72%

Altmaier: 10 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Gobat 5 of 5, Altmaier 16 of 20 (tour average 71%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: Yes33%

Where the number comes from: market alone 29% → with the players' profiles 33%

A tie-break in recent matches: Gobat 2 of 5, Altmaier 12 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adrien Gobat20%
Daniel Altmaier80%

Elo: A. Gobat 13% · D. Altmaier 87%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Gobat11%
2:1 A. Gobat9%
2:1 D. Altmaier21%
2:0 D. Altmaier59%

First set

Adrien Gobat26%
Daniel Altmaier74%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.580%20%79%
18.571%29%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%60%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,095 matches

Games handicap

D. Altmaier −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes33%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. GobatTourD. Altmaier
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won38%38%35%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve21%24%17%
Aces per service game0.520.58
Double faults per game0.260.23
Sets with a tie-break18%21%
Tie-breaks won1/213/29
Wins in straight sets50%52%
Matches in the sample558

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adrien Gobat

Daniel Altmaier

Elo over the last year

Adrien GobatDaniel Altmaier

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. GobatD. Altmaier
Hard court2–340%8–1633%
Clay0–013–1350%
Grass0–04–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Adrien Gobat

Daniel Altmaier

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches