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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Hoole vs Ryan Ziegann 2:0: result and our tips

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Casey HooleATP #636Elo 1574hard 1573
2:0final6:3 6:2
Sam Ryan ZiegannATP #786Elo 1489hard 1507

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Casey Hoole80%
Sam Ryan Ziegann20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Hoole59%
2:1 C. Hoole21%
2:1 S. Ryan Ziegann9%
2:0 S. Ryan Ziegann11%

First set

Casey Hoole74%
Sam Ryan Ziegann26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 56%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.544%56%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 3,076 matches

Games handicap

C. Hoole −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Casey HooleSam Ryan Ziegann
9Aces2
3Double faults2
63%First serves in57%
83%First-serve points won67%
43%Second-serve points won28%
4/6Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held4/8
68%Service points won50%
50%Return points won32%
68Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. HooleTourS. Ryan Ziegann
Service points won—62%60%
Return points won—38%39%
Service games held—76%72%
Breaks of serve—24%29%
Aces per service game—0.53
Double faults per game—0.25
Sets with a tie-break—6%
Tie-breaks won—1/1
Wins in straight sets—80%
Matches in the sample—8

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Casey Hoole

  • 28/12/24LDusan Lajovic#158ATP Brisbane · Q17:5 5:7 0:2
  • 01/01/24LTristan Schoolkate#144Challenger Canberra · R323:6 4:6
  • 01/01/24WTimofey Skatov#197Challenger Canberra · Q26:2 7:5
  • 31/12/23WMitchell HarperChallenger Canberra · Q16:3 6:3

Sam Ryan Ziegann

  • 09/11/26WChase Ferguson#683Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q27:6 6:4
  • 08/11/26WEthan CookChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q15:7 6:4 6:2
  • 14/09/26LFilip Peliwo#618Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 13/09/26WThantub SuksumrarnChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:1 7:5
  • 08/09/26LTimofei Derepasko#631Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
  • 07/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#791Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 06/09/26WChristopher PapaChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:1 6:4
  • 05/07/26LWilliam Jansen#974Challenger Nottingham 3 · Q11:6 2:6
  • 27/01/25LJacob BrummChallenger Brisbane · Q26:4 2:6 3:6
  • 26/01/25WKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Brisbane · Q16:2 6:4

Elo over the last year

Casey HooleSam Ryan Ziegann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. HooleS. Ryan Ziegann
Hard court0–05–271%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Casey Hoole

First match in this tournament.

Sam Ryan Ziegann

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