Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Ryan Ziegann vs Ferguson: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 4mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sam Ryan Ziegann29%
Chase Ferguson71%
Elo: S. Ryan Ziegann 45% · C. Ferguson 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Ryan Ziegann17%
2:1 S. Ryan Ziegann13%
2:1 C. Ferguson22%
2:0 C. Ferguson48%
First set
Sam Ryan Ziegann35%
Chase Ferguson65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%
Total games
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 58% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,720 matches
Games handicap
C. Ferguson −3.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Ryan Ziegann | Tour | C. Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 31% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.52 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.16 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 1/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 7 | 8 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sam Ryan Ziegann
- 08/11/26WEthan CookChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q15:7 6:4 6:2
- 14/09/26LFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q21:6 4:6
- 13/09/26WThantub SuksumrarnChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:1 7:5
- 08/09/26LTimofei Derepasko#614Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 07/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#768Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:4 6:4
- 06/09/26WChristopher PapaChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:1 6:4
- 05/07/26LWilliam JansenChallenger Nottingham 3 · Q11:6 2:6
- 27/01/25LJacob BrummChallenger Brisbane · Q26:4 2:6 3:6
- 26/01/25WKeisuke Saitoh#483Challenger Brisbane · Q16:2 6:4
- 30/10/22LKen CavrakChallenger Sydney · R166:7 3:6
Chase Ferguson
- 08/11/26WBenjamin O'Connell#955Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q14:6 6:2 6:2
- 28/09/26LOmar Jasika#329Challenger Jingshan · Q13:6 1:6
- 08/02/26LJamie Mackenzie#630Challenger Brisbane 2 · Q13:6 4:6
- 02/02/26LKokoro Isomura#722Challenger Brisbane · Q23:6 3:6
- 01/02/26WEnzo Aguiard#427Challenger Brisbane · Q16:4 6:4
- 27/01/26LDarwin Blanch#139Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · R320:6 1:6
- 26/01/26WLorenzo Carboni#552Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · Q27:6 6:4
- 25/01/26WArthur Weber#419Challenger Phan Thiet 2 · Q16:4 6:4
Elo over the last year
Sam Ryan ZiegannChase Ferguson
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Ryan Ziegann | C. Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 4–267% | 4–450% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Sam Ryan Ziegann
- 08/11/26WEthan CookChallenger Brisbane 3 · Q15:7 6:4 6:2
Chase Ferguson
- 08/11/26WBenjamin O'Connell#955Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q14:6 6:2 6:2
Upcoming matches
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- Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert, · Challenger Orleans
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