Hurkacz vs Zhou 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 73%
Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Hurkacz 19 of 20, Zhou 17 of 20 (tour average 75%); Hurkacz: 15 matches in a row over 18.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 38%
Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Hurkacz 13 of 20, Zhou 11 of 20 (tour average 45%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Hurkacz 91% · Y. Zhou 9%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 82% | 18% | 83% |
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 75% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 67% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 58% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 53% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 31% | 70% | 39% |
Sample: 1,754 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 37%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.0out · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Hubert Hurkacz | Yi Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Aces | 3 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 70% | First serves in | 64% |
| 84% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 3/9 | Break points converted | 1/4 |
| 12/13 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 74% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 26% |
| 81 | Total points won | 69 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Hurkacz | Tour | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 87% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.95 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 22% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 20/38 | 15/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hubert Hurkacz
- 09/10/26WNovak Djokovic#8ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:3
- 08/10/26WJames Duckworth#64ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:6
- 05/10/26LAlex de Minaur#9ATP Beijing · SF4:6 2:3
- 04/10/26WKaren Khachanov#27ATP Beijing · QF7:6 6:2
- 02/10/26WArthur Gea#56ATP Beijing · R167:6 6:7 6:2
- 01/10/26WLearner Tien#17ATP Beijing · R325:7 6:3 6:4
- 29/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#26ATP Chengdu · F4:6 6:7
- 28/09/26WDenis Shapovalov#42ATP Chengdu · SF6:7 6:3 6:3
- 27/09/26WLloyd Harris#110ATP Chengdu · QF7:6 6:4
- 26/09/26WMartin Damm Jr#104ATP Chengdu · R164:6 6:3 6:4
Yi Zhou
- 09/10/26WLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Shanghai · R647:6 3:6 7:6
- 07/10/26WMattia Bellucci#86ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 3:6 7:6
- 28/09/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Beijing · Q15:7 3:6
- 24/09/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#55ATP Chengdu · R324:6 3:6
- 11/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Shanghai · QF3:6 3:6
- 10/09/26WJie Cui#420Challenger Shanghai · R167:6 6:4
- 08/09/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 7:5
- 01/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 6:7 3:6
- 29/07/26LDaniel Milavsky#315Challenger Vancouver · R326:3 1:6 3:6
- 22/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Segovia · R164:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Hurkacz | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1260% | 21–1953% |
| Clay | 8–562% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 4–357% | 8–467% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Hubert Hurkacz
- 08/10/26WJames Duckworth#64ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:6
- 09/10/26WNovak Djokovic#8ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:3
Yi Zhou
- 07/10/26WMattia Bellucci#86ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 3:6 7:6
- 09/10/26WLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Shanghai · R647:6 3:6 7:6