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WTA 125 CourmayeurQuarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Jacquemot vs Yaneva 2:1: result and our tips

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Elsa JacquemotWTA #130Elo 1612hard 1607
2:1final5:7 7:6(4) 6:1
Elizara YanevaWTA #138Elo 1671hard 1663

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Jacquemot 11 of 20, Yaneva 14 of 20 (tour average 53%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: YanevaWon55%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jacquemot lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Yaneva won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jacquemot: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games; Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Jacquemot 6 of 20, Yaneva 11 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Elsa Jacquemot47%
Elizara Yaneva54%

Elo: E. Jacquemot 42% · E. Yaneva 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Jacquemot26%
2:1 E. Jacquemot20%
2:1 E. Yaneva19%
2:0 E. Yaneva35%

First set

Elsa Jacquemot46%
Elizara Yaneva54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%53%
20.554%46%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,381 matches

Games handicap

E. Yaneva −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Elsa JacquemotElizara Yaneva
6Aces1
11Double faults5
66%First serves in54%
70%First-serve points won65%
32%Second-serve points won39%
6/19Break points converted5/9
11/16Service games held9/15
57%Service points won53%
47%Return points won43%
115Total points won107

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. JacquemotTourE. Yaneva
Service points won56%56%53%
Return points won42%44%48%
Service games held63%63%55%
Breaks of serve30%37%47%
Aces per service game0.350.15
Double faults per game0.510.36
Sets with a tie-break14%10%
Tie-breaks won5/174/7
Wins in straight sets53%50%
Matches in the sample5127

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Elsa Jacquemot

Elizara Yaneva

Elo over the last year

Elsa JacquemotElizara Yaneva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. JacquemotE. Yaneva
Hard court15–1944%5–271%
Clay3–925%10–953%
Grass1–420%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Elsa Jacquemot

Elizara Yaneva

See also