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WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Joint vs Cirstea 2:0: result and our tips

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Maya JointWTA #94Elo 1789hard 1774
2:0final6:3 7:6(4)
Sorana CirsteaWTA #16Elo 1976hard 1950

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Joint: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: CirsteaLost67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Joint lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches, Cirstea won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maya Joint30%
Sorana Cirstea70%

Elo: M. Joint 27% · S. Cirstea 73%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Joint17%
2:1 M. Joint14%
2:1 S. Cirstea21%
2:0 S. Cirstea48%

First set

Maya Joint34%
Sorana Cirstea66%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%41%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%61%38%
23.536%65%34%

Sample: 1,942 matches

Games handicap

S. Cirstea −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Maya JointSorana Cirstea
1Aces2
1Double faults3
78%First serves in61%
62%First-serve points won65%
44%Second-serve points won35%
4/8Break points converted3/7
8/11Service games held6/10
58%Service points won53%
47%Return points won42%
74Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JointTourS. Cirstea
Service points won55%56%60%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held62%63%73%
Breaks of serve36%37%40%
Aces per service game0.170.39
Double faults per game0.320.23
Sets with a tie-break10%14%
Tie-breaks won6/1212/18
Wins in straight sets44%76%
Matches in the sample4859

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maya Joint

Sorana Cirstea

Elo over the last year

Maya JointSorana Cirstea

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JointS. Cirstea
Hard court21–1755%25–1169%
Clay1–517%14–478%
Grass1–325%3–260%

Head to head

M. Joint 1–1 S. Cirstea

  • 05/08/26Winner: M. Joint6:4 6:4
  • 06/03/25Winner: S. Cirstea2:6 5:7

Road through the tournament

Maya Joint

Sorana Cirstea

First match in this tournament.

See also