WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Joint vs Golubic 2:1: result and our tips

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Maya JointWTA #90Elo 1759hard 1744
2:1final6:7(4) 6:4 7:5
Viktorija GolubicWTA #82Elo 1818hard 1777

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Joint 15 of 20, Golubic 13 of 20 (tour average 56%); Over 19.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Joint 12 of 20, Golubic 8 of 20 (tour average 32%); Over 24.5 games in 2 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maya Joint54%
Viktorija Golubic46%

Elo: M. Joint 45% · V. Golubic 55%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Joint33%
2:1 M. Joint19%
2:1 V. Golubic19%
2:0 V. Golubic30%

First set

Maya Joint51%
Viktorija Golubic49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,351 matches

Games handicap

Maya Joint −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 35 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Maya JointViktorija Golubic
3Aces0
3Double faults4
78%First serves in78%
66%First-serve points won59%
46%Second-serve points won48%
6/17Break points converted4/13
13/17Service games held11/17
62%Service points won56%
44%Return points won38%
123Total points won115

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JointTourV. Golubic
Service points won54%56%55%
Return points won44%44%46%
Service games held61%63%63%
Breaks of serve36%37%42%
Aces per service game0.170.09
Double faults per game0.330.24
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won6/113/13
Wins in straight sets43%53%
Matches in the sample4656

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maya Joint

Viktorija Golubic

Elo over the last year

Maya JointViktorija Golubic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JointV. Golubic
Hard court19–1753%17–1652%
Clay1–517%8–562%
Grass1–325%7–370%

Head to head

M. Joint 2–1 V. Golubic

  • 07/05/26Winner: Viktorija Golubic5:7 2:6
  • 20/10/25Winner: Maya Joint1:6 7:6 6:2
  • 06/05/25Winner: Maya Joint4:6 7:5 6:2