Challenger KobeChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Jones vs Mochizuki: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 2h 18mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maximus Jones73%
Yuki Mochizuki27%
Elo: M. Jones 58% · Y. Mochizuki 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Jones50%
2:1 M. Jones22%
2:1 Y. Mochizuki12%
2:0 Y. Mochizuki16%
First set
Maximus Jones67%
Yuki Mochizuki33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%
Total games
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 35% |
Sample: 4,459 matches
Games handicap
M. Jones −3.554%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes31%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Jones | Tour | Y. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.28 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/16 | 3/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 43% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maximus Jones
- 08/11/26LSho KatayamaChallenger Matsuyama · Q13:6 7:6 4:6
- 19/10/26LYanaki Milev#526Challenger Florence · Q25:7 3:6
- 18/10/26WMartino GuidottiChallenger Florence · Q16:1 6:0
- 11/10/26LSebastian Gima#511Challenger Catania · Q12:6 6:3 3:6
- 09/09/26LHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R163:6 6:7
- 08/09/26WFlorent Bax#292Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:0 3:6 7:6
- 02/09/26LIvan Ivanov#459Challenger Manacor · R320:6 4:6
- 01/09/26WOskari Paldanius#625Challenger Manacor · Q26:3 6:4
- 31/08/26WAlastair Gray#270Challenger Manacor · Q16:2 7:5
- 14/07/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Pozoblanco · R322:6 1:3
Yuki Mochizuki
- 08/11/26LKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Matsuyama · Q12:6 7:5 4:6
- 03/05/26LPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Wuxi · Q13:6 3:6
- 27/04/26LGerard Campana Lee#435Challenger Shymkent 2 · Q24:6 4:6
- 26/04/26WAnton ChekhovChallenger Shymkent 2 · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
- 19/04/26LBekhan AtlangerievChallenger Shymkent · Q11:6 2:6
- 12/04/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#414Challenger Wuning 2 · Q13:6 4:6
- 07/04/26LClement Chidekh#129Challenger Wuning · R324:6 1:6
- 06/04/26LPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Wuning · Q21:6 4:6
- 05/04/26WBen Jones#834Challenger Wuning · Q14:6 7:6 7:6
- 30/03/26LLi Tu#504Challenger Miyazaki · Q21:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Maximus JonesYuki Mochizuki
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Jones | Y. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 13–1941% | 6–1135% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 1–233% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
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