Jovic vs Paolini: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 2h 31mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: I. Jovic 57% · J. Paolini 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 58% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 63% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 2,225 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Jovic | Tour | J. Paolini | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 55% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 70% | 63% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 41% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 2/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 37 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Iva Jovic
- 15/10/26LMaja Chwalińska#11WTA Wuhan · R164:6 1:6
- 14/10/26WDayana Yastremska#103WTA Wuhan · R326:4 6:1
- 07/10/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Beijing · R161:6 3:6
- 05/10/26WKamilla Rakhimova#67WTA Beijing · R326:1 7:5
- 03/10/26WHarriet Dart#117WTA Beijing · R642:6 6:3 6:3
- 19/09/26WPeyton Stearns#37WTA Guadalajara · F6:4 6:2
- 18/09/26WCristina Bucsa#38WTA Guadalajara · SF6:4 6:1
- 17/09/26WMagdalena Fręch#47WTA Guadalajara · QF6:2 6:1
- 16/09/26WZeynep Sonmez#63WTA Guadalajara · R167:6 6:4
- 07/09/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA US Open · R161:6 4:6
Jasmine Paolini
- 20/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · R326:2 7:5
- 15/10/26LSonay Kartal#49WTA Wuhan · R162:6 0:6
- 14/10/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Wuhan · R327:6 6:3
- 12/10/26WSara Bejlek#32WTA Wuhan · R646:3 6:4
- 02/10/26LDaria Snigur#40WTA Beijing · R646:3 6:7 2:6
- 04/09/26LSorana Cirstea#17WTA US Open · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WLucrezia Stefanini#107WTA US Open · R646:4 6:1
- 30/08/26WVeronika Erjavec#149WTA US Open · R1286:3 3:6 6:4
- 08/07/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Wimbledon · QF3:6 2:6
- 06/07/26WAlexandra Eala#20WTA Wimbledon · R166:4 4:6 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Jovic | J. Paolini | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 30–1370% | 12–1250% |
| Clay | 8–562% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 6–275% | 4–267% |
Head to head
I. Jovic 1–2 J. Paolini
- 23/01/26Winner: Iva Jovic6:2 7:6
- 27/08/25Winner: Jasmine Paolini3:6 3:6
- 08/03/25Winner: Jasmine Paolini6:7 6:1 3:6
Road through the tournament
Iva Jovic
First match in this tournament.
Jasmine Paolini
- 20/10/26WAnhelina Kalinina#51WTA Ningbo · R326:2 7:5