Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Kachmazov vs Hong: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 13h 35mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alibek Kachmazov60%
Seongchan Hong40%
Elo: A. Kachmazov 49% · S. Hong 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Kachmazov39%
2:1 A. Kachmazov21%
2:1 S. Hong16%
2:0 S. Hong24%
First set
Alibek Kachmazov57%
Seongchan Hong43%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 5,979 matches
Games handicap
A. Kachmazov −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes33%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Kachmazov | Tour | S. Hong | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 23% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 30% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/13 | 1/2 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 17 | 6 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alibek Kachmazov
- 27/10/26WRio Noguchi#214Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:1
- 26/10/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Seoul · Q26:0 4:6 6:3
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#732Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 13/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Jinan · R327:6 5:7 3:6
- 11/10/26WJay Friend#266Challenger Wuning 3 · F4:6 7:6 7:6
- 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#386Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
- 09/10/26WFajing Sun#292Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
- 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
- 06/10/26WCharles Broom#268Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
Seongchan Hong
- 27/10/26WYibing Wu#107Challenger Seoul · R327:5 6:1
- 05/10/26LRei Sakamoto#125ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 5:7
- 26/08/26LTristan Schoolkate#141ATP US Open · Q24:6 6:7
- 25/08/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#95ATP US Open · Q16:3 7:6
- 19/08/26LHenrique Rocha#100Challenger Cancun · R324:6 1:6
- 11/08/26LColeman Wong#87ATP Cincinnati · Q14:6 2:6
- 01/10/24LYosuke Watanuki#374ATP Shanghai · Q22:6 5:7
- 30/09/24WIllya MarchenkoATP Shanghai · Q17:6 6:4
- 17/09/24LAlibek Kachmazov#360ATP Chengdu · Q14:6 1:6
- 04/09/24LDalibor Svrcina#120Challenger Shanghai · R165:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Alibek KachmazovSeongchan Hong
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Kachmazov | S. Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–665% | 2–433% |
Head to head
A. Kachmazov 2–0 S. Hong
- 17/09/24Winner: A. Kachmazov6:4 6:1
- 08/05/24Winner: A. Kachmazov6:1 2:6 7:6
Road through the tournament
Alibek Kachmazov
- 25/10/26WDong Ju Kim#732Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 6:3 6:1
- 26/10/26WWoobin ShinChallenger Seoul · Q26:0 4:6 6:3
- 27/10/26WRio Noguchi#214Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:1