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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Kennedy vs Barton 2:1: result and our tips

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Jack KennedyATP #396Elo 1613hard 1537
2:1final7:5 1:6 6:3
Hynek BartonATP #277Elo 1681hard 1665

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 66% → with the players' profiles 71%

No tie-break in recent matches: Kennedy 15 of 20, Barton 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jack Kennedy36%
Hynek Barton64%

Elo: J. Kennedy 32% · H. Barton 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Kennedy21%
2:1 J. Kennedy16%
2:1 H. Barton22%
2:0 H. Barton41%

First set

Jack Kennedy40%
Hynek Barton60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,802 matches

Games handicap

H. Barton −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Jack KennedyHynek Barton
2Aces7
1Double faults5
57%First serves in46%
71%First-serve points won81%
44%Second-serve points won44%
4/5Break points converted4/4
10/14Service games held10/14
60%Service points won61%
39%Return points won41%
82Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. KennedyTourH. Barton
Service points won57%62%64%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held65%76%81%
Breaks of serve33%24%23%
Aces per service game0.280.55
Double faults per game0.270.19
Sets with a tie-break10%16%
Tie-breaks won3/512/27
Wins in straight sets55%69%
Matches in the sample2171

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jack Kennedy

Hynek Barton

  • 27/10/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · R322:6 3:6
  • 13/10/26LMaxim Mrva#231Challenger Olbia · R322:6 1:2
  • 09/10/26LLaslo Djere#137Challenger Villena · QF3:6 5:7
  • 08/10/26WMax Hans Rehberg#248Challenger Villena · R166:1 6:7 7:6
  • 07/10/26WToby Samuel#97Challenger Villena · R327:6 6:3
  • 05/10/26LPyotr Nesterov#286Challenger Villena · Q26:3 4:6 1:6
  • 04/10/26WStefan LatinovicChallenger Villena · Q16:3 7:5
  • 17/09/26LZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Szczecin · R164:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26WRaul Brancaccio#221Challenger Szczecin · R324:6 6:2 6:1
  • 08/09/26LNico Hipfl#706Challenger Tulln · R323:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Jack KennedyHynek Barton

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. KennedyH. Barton
Hard court4–833%11–1150%
Clay7–278%28–2157%

Head to head

They have not met yet.