Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kotov vs Kopriva 0:1: result and our tips

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Pavel KotovATP #187Elo 1845hard 1858
0:1retired1:6 1:4
Vit KoprivaATP #68Elo 1808hard 1757

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Kotov64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 64%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kotov won 7 of the last 10 matches; Kopriva lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Pavel Kotov66%
Vit Kopriva34%

Elo: P. Kotov 64% · V. Kopriva 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Kotov43%
2:1 P. Kotov22%
2:1 V. Kopriva15%
2:0 V. Kopriva20%

First set

Pavel Kotov61%
Vit Kopriva39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.561%39%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,338 matches

Games handicap

Pavel Kotov −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Match stats

Pavel KotovVit Kopriva
0Aces4
1Double faults0
56%First serves in81%
61%First-serve points won80%
14%Second-serve points won67%
0/0Break points converted4/6
2/6Service games held6/6
41%Service points won77%
23%Return points won59%
20Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. KotovTourV. Kopriva
Service points won67%62%60%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held83%76%74%
Breaks of serve21%24%24%
Aces per service game0.550.35
Double faults per game0.180.29
Sets with a tie-break23%11%
Tie-breaks won19/266/17
Wins in straight sets55%70%
Matches in the sample4865

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Pavel Kotov

Vit Kopriva

Elo over the last year

Pavel KotovVit Kopriva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. KotovV. Kopriva
Hard court31–1076%14–1844%
Clay2–529%14–1450%
Grass0–02–340%

Head to head

P. Kotov 0–1 V. Kopriva

  • 13/02/23Winner: Vit Kopriva2:6 1:6