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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Krutykh vs Wehnelt 2:1: result and our tips

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Oleksii KrutykhATP #442Elo 1632hard 1620
2:1final7:6(4) 6:7(4) 6:4
Kai WehneltATP #643Elo 1581hard 1501

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Wehnelt: 3 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Krutykh 9 of 20, Wehnelt 11 of 20 (tour average 37%); Wehnelt: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Oleksii Krutykh65%
Kai Wehnelt35%

Elo: O. Krutykh 66% · K. Wehnelt 34%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Krutykh43%
2:1 O. Krutykh22%
2:1 K. Wehnelt15%
2:0 K. Wehnelt20%

First set

Oleksii Krutykh61%
Kai Wehnelt39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.574%26%71%
19.566%34%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.553%47%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,685 matches

Games handicap

O. Krutykh −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Oleksii KrutykhKai Wehnelt
3Aces9
2Double faults6
62%First serves in61%
69%First-serve points won77%
57%Second-serve points won51%
3/9Break points converted2/10
15/17Service games held14/17
64%Service points won67%
33%Return points won36%
114Total points won117

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. KrutykhTourK. Wehnelt
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won42%38%39%
Service games held79%76%77%
Breaks of serve31%24%25%
Aces per service game0.260.48
Double faults per game0.230.29
Sets with a tie-break13%18%
Tie-breaks won5/104/12
Wins in straight sets73%60%
Matches in the sample3428

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Oleksii Krutykh

  • 19/10/26LCarlos Taberner#462Challenger Lisbon · Q23:6 6:4 6:7
  • 18/10/26WPedro LiborioChallenger Lisbon · Q16:0 6:1
  • 12/10/26LMilos Karol#597Challenger Maia · Q21:6 7:5 6:7
  • 11/10/26WDiogo MarquesChallenger Maia · Q16:4 6:4
  • 08/10/26LLuka Mikrut#251Challenger Braga · R167:6 4:6 4:6
  • 07/10/26WJavier Barranco Cosano#615Challenger Braga · R321:6 6:4 6:4
  • 05/10/26WFilip Pieczonka#876Challenger Braga · Q26:2 4:6 6:0
  • 04/10/26WFrancisco Rocha#923Challenger Braga · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
  • 07/09/26LMassimo Giunta#368Challenger Genoa · Q26:4 5:7 3:6
  • 06/09/26WStefan Popovic#685Challenger Genoa · Q17:5 6:4

Kai Wehnelt

Elo over the last year

Oleksii KrutykhKai Wehnelt

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. KrutykhK. Wehnelt
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay22–1265%15–1256%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also