La Serna vs Pucinelli de Almeida 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 81% → with the players' profiles 73%
Over 17.5 games in recent matches: La Serna 18 of 20, Pucinelli de Almeida 17 of 20 (tour average 76%); Pucinelli de Almeida: 11 matches in a row over 17.5 games
Where the number comes from: market alone 44% → with the players' profiles 39%
Over 22.5 games in recent matches: La Serna 9 of 20, Pucinelli de Almeida 11 of 20 (tour average 40%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. La Serna 38% · M. Pucinelli de Almeida 63%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 37% | 63% | 36% |
Sample: 4,055 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.0out · 32 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Juan Manuel La Serna | Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 4 |
| 6 | Double faults | 5 |
| 59% | First serves in | 58% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 51% | Second-serve points won | 68% |
| 2/7 | Break points converted | 3/9 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 14/16 |
| 62% | Service points won | 70% |
| 30% | Return points won | 38% |
| 93 | Total points won | 104 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. La Serna | Tour | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 24% | 35% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 8% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 6/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 65% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 21/10/26WJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Cali · R166:4 6:2
- 20/10/26WHugo Dellien#119Challenger Cali · R326:3 2:0
- 17/10/26LHugo Dellien#119Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · SF4:6 3:6
- 16/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#259Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF6:1 6:7 6:4
- 15/10/26WGuido Ivan Justo#182Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:1 0:0
- 13/10/26WHernan Casanova#435Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 10/09/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Tulln · R165:7 7:6 1:6
- 08/09/26WFilip Cristian Jianu#287Challenger Tulln · R326:4 3:6 6:3
- 04/09/26LYanaki Milev#526Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF3:6 6:3 1:6
- 03/09/26WNikita Mashtakov#450Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:2 6:4
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 22/10/26WNicolas Jarry#784Challenger Cali · R167:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WJose Pereira#738Challenger Cali · R326:4 7:5
- 09/10/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#186Challenger Antofagasta · QF4:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WGenaro Alberto Olivieri#257Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:3
- 06/10/26WAlex Barrena#211Challenger Antofagasta · R327:5 6:3
- 02/10/26LTomas Barrios Vera#156Challenger Curitiba · QF1:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/09/26WJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#186Challenger Curitiba · R166:3 4:6 6:3
- 29/09/26WPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#431Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 6:3 6:0
- 22/09/26LHugo Dellien#119Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:5 4:6 4:6
- 02/09/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Manacor · R326:7 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. La Serna | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 3–443% |
| Clay | 40–2166% | 31–1567% |
Head to head
J. La Serna 0–1 M. Pucinelli de Almeida
- 06/10/24Winner: M. Pucinelli de Almeida3:6 2:6
Road through the tournament
Juan Manuel La Serna
- 20/10/26WHugo Dellien#119Challenger Cali · R326:3 2:0
- 21/10/26WJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Cali · R166:4 6:2
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 20/10/26WJose Pereira#738Challenger Cali · R326:4 7:5
- 22/10/26WNicolas Jarry#784Challenger Cali · R167:6 6:4