Challenger JinanChallenger 175Semifinalhardbest of three sets

Landaluce vs Draxl 2:0: result and our tips

·

Martin LandaluceATP #67Elo 1841hard 1822
2:0final7:6(0) 6:3
Liam DraxlATP #197Elo 1830hard 1815

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Landaluce 17 of 20, Draxl 14 of 20 (tour average 62%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Landaluce 12 of 20, Draxl 10 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Martin Landaluce62%
Liam Draxl38%

Elo: M. Landaluce 51% · L. Draxl 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Landaluce40%
2:1 M. Landaluce22%
2:1 L. Draxl16%
2:0 L. Draxl22%

First set

Martin Landaluce59%
Liam Draxl41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 46%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.567%34%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,723 matches

Games handicap

Martin Landaluce −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Martin LandaluceLiam Draxl
6Aces7
4Double faults2
69%First serves in67%
70%First-serve points won61%
50%Second-serve points won50%
3/6Break points converted2/6
9/11Service games held7/10
64%Service points won58%
42%Return points won36%
74Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LandaluceTourL. Draxl
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held77%76%74%
Breaks of serve23%24%28%
Aces per service game0.400.41
Double faults per game0.340.24
Sets with a tie-break14%16%
Tie-breaks won12/2412/25
Wins in straight sets55%49%
Matches in the sample6463

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Landaluce

Liam Draxl

Elo over the last year

Martin LandaluceLiam Draxl

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LandaluceL. Draxl
Hard court18–2146%30–1961%
Clay10–856%7–654%
Grass3–443%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Martin Landaluce

Liam Draxl

See also