Challenger JinanChallenger 175Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Landaluce vs Smith: prediction and tips

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Martin LandaluceATP #73Elo 1832hard 1812
-:-
Keegan SmithATP #202Elo 1678hard 1654

Our tips

Tip in 1d 1h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Martin Landaluce76%
Keegan Smith24%

Elo: M. Landaluce 71% · K. Smith 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Landaluce54%
2:1 M. Landaluce22%
2:1 K. Smith11%
2:0 K. Smith13%

First set

Martin Landaluce70%
Keegan Smith30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.577%23%71%
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.535%66%35%

Sample: 3,651 matches

Games handicap

Martin Landaluce −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. LandaluceTourK. Smith
Service points won62%62%67%
Return points won38%38%35%
Service games held77%76%85%
Breaks of serve23%24%17%
Aces per service game0.390.60
Double faults per game0.330.16
Sets with a tie-break14%25%
Tie-breaks won12/2421/43
Wins in straight sets55%59%
Matches in the sample6470

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Martin Landaluce

Keegan Smith

Elo over the last year

Martin LandaluceKeegan Smith

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. LandaluceK. Smith
Hard court18–2146%29–2455%
Clay10–856%6–367%
Grass3–443%4–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Martin Landaluce

Keegan Smith