Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Smith vs Kopriva: prediction and tips

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Keegan SmithATP #202Elo 1655hard 1632
-:-
Vit KoprivaATP #68Elo 1808hard 1757

Our tips

Tip in 2h 31m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Keegan Smith36%
Vit Kopriva64%

Elo: K. Smith 33% · V. Kopriva 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Smith21%
2:1 K. Smith16%
2:1 V. Kopriva22%
2:0 V. Kopriva41%

First set

Keegan Smith40%
Vit Kopriva60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,579 matches

Games handicap

Vit Kopriva −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes42%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. SmithTourV. Kopriva
Service points won67%62%61%
Return points won35%38%38%
Service games held85%76%74%
Breaks of serve17%24%25%
Aces per service game0.600.35
Double faults per game0.150.29
Sets with a tie-break25%11%
Tie-breaks won21/436/17
Wins in straight sets62%68%
Matches in the sample7066

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Keegan Smith

Vit Kopriva

Elo over the last year

Keegan SmithVit Kopriva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. SmithV. Kopriva
Hard court29–2455%15–1845%
Clay6–367%14–1450%
Grass4–450%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Keegan Smith

Vit Kopriva