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Challenger Brisbane 3Challenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Langmo vs McCabe 2:1: result and our tips

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Christian LangmoATP #528Elo 1595hard 1577
2:1final6:2 4:6 6:3
James McCabeATP #287Elo 1598hard 1572

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 59% → with the players' profiles 66%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Langmo 13 of 20, McCabe 14 of 20 (tour average 54%); McCabe: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesLost46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 46%

A tie-break in recent matches: Langmo 8 of 20, McCabe 12 of 20 (tour average 32%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Christian Langmo38%
James McCabe62%

Elo: C. Langmo 51% · J. McCabe 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Langmo22%
2:1 C. Langmo16%
2:1 J. McCabe22%
2:0 J. McCabe40%

First set

Christian Langmo41%
James McCabe59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%62%
20.566%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.553%47%42%
23.546%54%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%62%32%

Sample: 6,044 matches

Games handicap

J. McCabe −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes46%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 23.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Christian LangmoJames McCabe
9Aces15
3Double faults3
65%First serves in73%
82%First-serve points won65%
56%Second-serve points won42%
4/14Break points converted2/3
12/14Service games held9/13
73%Service points won58%
42%Return points won27%
93Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LangmoTourJ. McCabe
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won35%38%34%
Service games held81%76%83%
Breaks of serve20%24%17%
Aces per service game0.590.71
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break18%29%
Tie-breaks won14/2516/33
Wins in straight sets73%75%
Matches in the sample6051

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Christian Langmo

James McCabe

  • 03/11/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Taipei · R323:6 5:7
  • 27/10/26LHiroki Moriya#450Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 6:2 6:7
  • 21/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 19/10/26WElias Ymer#254Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
  • 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
  • 30/09/26LFederico Cina#139Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
  • 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#152ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
  • 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#158Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
  • 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#171ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7

Elo over the last year

Christian LangmoJames McCabe

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LangmoJ. McCabe
Hard court22–2448%18–2047%
Clay8–657%0–20%
Grass0–06–555%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Christian Langmo

James McCabe

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches