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WTA 125 LuandaRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Lansere vs Novak 2:0: result and our tips

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Sofya LansereWTA #266Elo 1471hard 1498
2:0final6:0 6:1
Kristina NovakWTA #668Elo 1447hard 1488

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 20.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Lansere: 6 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sofya Lansere90%
Kristina Novak10%

Elo: S. Lansere 51% · K. Novak 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Lansere73%
2:1 S. Lansere16%
2:1 K. Novak5%
2:0 K. Novak5%

First set

Sofya Lansere84%
Kristina Novak16%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.577%23%87%
16.566%35%79%
17.556%44%70%
18.545%55%61%
19.538%62%53%
20.531%69%46%
21.526%74%42%

Sample: 916 matches

Games handicap

S. Lansere −6.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sofya LansereKristina Novak
5Aces0
2Double faults5
70%First serves in42%
68%First-serve points won19%
58%Second-serve points won32%
6/6Break points converted0/2
6/6Service games held1/7
65%Service points won26%
74%Return points won35%
54Total points won24

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. LansereTourK. Novak
Service points won52%56%55%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held55%63%62%
Breaks of serve43%37%37%
Aces per service game0.180.20
Double faults per game0.560.40
Sets with a tie-break3%14%
Tie-breaks won0/10/1
Wins in straight sets80%100%
Matches in the sample133

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sofya Lansere

Kristina Novak

Elo over the last year

Sofya LansereKristina Novak

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. LansereK. Novak
Hard court3–350%1–150%
Clay2–529%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Sofya Lansere

Kristina Novak