Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Semifinalhardbest of three sets
Maestrelli vs Henning: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Francesco Maestrelli56%
Philip Henning44%
Elo: F. Maestrelli 49% · P. Henning 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 F. Maestrelli36%
2:1 F. Maestrelli21%
2:1 P. Henning18%
2:0 P. Henning26%
First set
Francesco Maestrelli55%
Philip Henning45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 5,941 matches
Games handicap
F. Maestrelli −1.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes36%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| F. Maestrelli | Tour | P. Henning | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.57 | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 21% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/31 | 4/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 61 | 40 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Francesco Maestrelli
- 13/11/26WSumit Nagal#264Challenger Hersonissos 3 · QF6:4 6:7 6:2
- 11/11/26WJohannus Monday#493Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 10/11/26WJack Loge#401Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 06/11/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Taranto · QF6:7 4:6
- 05/11/26WPeter Makk#518Challenger Taranto · R166:3 6:2
- 03/11/26WFrancesco Forti#320Challenger Taranto · R326:3 6:2
- 30/10/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Brest · QF3:6 4:6
- 28/10/26WGabriel Diallo#166Challenger Brest · R166:4 2:2
- 27/10/26WMoez Echargui#360Challenger Brest · R327:6 6:3
- 18/10/26LBorna Gojo#134ATP Lyon · Q16:4 3:6 6:7
Philip Henning
- 13/11/26WLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Hersonissos 3 · QF6:1 6:2
- 12/11/26WCezar Cretu#273Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:1 6:1
- 10/11/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#278Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:2 7:5
- 05/11/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#323Challenger Taranto · R166:4 1:6 6:7
- 03/11/26WCalvin Hemery#284Challenger Taranto · R326:1 6:2
- 14/10/26LDominic Stricker#259Challenger Roanne · R322:6 3:6
- 08/10/26LBorna Gojo#134Challenger Villena · R166:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#207Challenger Villena · R327:6 6:1
- 05/10/26WIvan Marrero Curbelo#386Challenger Villena · Q27:5 6:0
- 04/10/26WThijs Boogaard#457Challenger Villena · Q16:2 6:7 6:3
Elo over the last year
Francesco MaestrelliPhilip Henning
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| F. Maestrelli | P. Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 28–1861% | 20–1165% |
| Clay | 2–1017% | 3–730% |
| Grass | 0–30% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Francesco Maestrelli
- 10/11/26WJack Loge#401Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:3 6:1
- 11/11/26WJohannus Monday#493Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:3 6:3
- 13/11/26WSumit Nagal#264Challenger Hersonissos 3 · QF6:4 6:7 6:2
Philip Henning
- 10/11/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#278Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R326:2 7:5
- 12/11/26WCezar Cretu#273Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R166:1 6:1
- 13/11/26WLorenzo Carboni#550Challenger Hersonissos 3 · QF6:1 6:2
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