WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Mair vs Stefanini 1:2: result and our tips

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Laura MairWTA #445Elo 1440hard 1470
1:2final6:3 2:6 5:7
Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #106Elo 1733hard 1718

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 15.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stefanini: 19 matches in a row over 15.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Laura Mair7%
Lucrezia Stefanini93%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Mair4%
2:1 L. Mair4%
2:1 L. Stefanini14%
2:0 L. Stefanini79%

First set

Laura Mair13%
Lucrezia Stefanini87%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes18%
no82%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 17.0 · 48%market (no margin): 48%

The 17.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%93%
15.570%30%87%
16.559%41%79%
17.548%52%70%
18.539%61%61%
19.532%68%53%
20.526%74%46%

Sample: 759 matches

Games handicap

Lucrezia Stefanini −6.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 17.0in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Laura MairLucrezia Stefanini
2Aces0
6Double faults2
62%First serves in76%
64%First-serve points won62%
41%Second-serve points won63%
4/4Break points converted5/11
9/14Service games held11/15
55%Service points won62%
38%Return points won45%
77Total points won87

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. MairTourL. Stefanini
Service points won—56%52%
Return points won—44%48%
Service games held—63%55%
Breaks of serve—37%46%
Aces per service game—0.04
Double faults per game—0.27
Sets with a tie-break—9%
Tie-breaks won—4/11
Wins in straight sets—62%
Matches in the sample—53

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Laura Mair

  • 04/06/26LLucia Bronzetti#135WTA 125 Foggia · R162:6 1:6
  • 02/06/26WYiming Dang#932WTA 125 Foggia · R322:6 6:4 6:3
  • 17/09/23LEva Vedder#176WTA 125 Parma · Q11:6 4:6

Lucrezia Stefanini

Elo over the last year

Laura MairLucrezia Stefanini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. MairL. Stefanini
Hard court0–024–1759%
Clay1–150%1–420%
Grass0–04–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.