McCabe vs Moriya 1:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: J. McCabe 63% · H. Moriya 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 70% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 51% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,534 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| James McCabe | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aces | 1 |
| 2 | Double faults | 5 |
| 59% | First serves in | 71% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 40% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/7 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 10/14 |
| 58% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 42% |
| 83 | Total points won | 93 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. McCabe | Tour | H. Moriya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 34% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.71 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 27% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/33 | 9/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 55 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
James McCabe
- 21/10/26LJay Friend#266Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 6:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WElias Ymer#227Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:0 6:7 7:6
- 12/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · Q23:6 4:6
- 11/10/26WSiddhant BanthiaChallenger Jinan · Q16:0 3:1
- 30/09/26LFederico Cina#142Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 3:6
- 24/08/26LLukas Neumayer#168ATP US Open · Q11:6 4:6
- 04/08/26LDusan Lajovic#162Challenger Lexington · R323:6 7:6 3:6
- 25/07/26LAlex Bolt#175ATP Washington · Q16:7 6:7
- 21/07/26LDuncan Chan#467Challenger Winnipeg · R326:7 6:4 5:7
- 16/07/26LBernard Tomic#179Challenger Lincoln · R166:7 4:6
Hiroki Moriya
- 26/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#615Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:2
- 25/10/26WTaisei Ichikawa#751Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/10/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q12:6 3:6
- 07/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#481Challenger Wuning 3 · R162:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WKeegan Smith#185Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LOmar Jasika#386Challenger Jingshan · Q24:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WJilong HuangChallenger Jingshan · Q16:0 6:4
- 15/09/26LBlake Ellis#451Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R324:6 7:5 3:6
- 11/09/26LYuta Shimizu#404Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF7:5 5:7 6:7
- 09/09/26WMaximus Jones#491Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:3 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. McCabe | H. Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 21–2051% | 25–2748% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 1–150% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 1–150% |
Head to head
J. McCabe 2–0 H. Moriya
- 17/11/25Winner: J. McCabe6:4 6:3
- 20/02/23Winner: J. McCabe6:1 6:3
Road through the tournament
James McCabe
First match in this tournament.
Hiroki Moriya
- 25/10/26WTaisei Ichikawa#751Challenger Ningbo · Q16:4 6:4
- 26/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#615Challenger Ningbo · Q17:6 6:2