Michalski vs Holmgren 0:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 60%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Michalski lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Michalski 5 of 20, Holmgren 10 of 20 (tour average 27%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Michalski 46% · A. Holmgren 54%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 6,027 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 22.0out · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Daniel Michalski | August Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 10 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 52% | First serves in | 57% |
| 82% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 39% | Second-serve points won | 62% |
| 1/3 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 61% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 39% |
| 53 | Total points won | 62 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Michalski | Tour | A. Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.60 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/10 | 18/28 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 40 | 59 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Daniel Michalski
- 15/09/26LMarvin Moeller#227Challenger Szczecin · R322:6 4:6
- 13/08/26LLukas Neumayer#155Challenger Todi · R166:4 5:7 0:6
- 11/08/26WLorenzo Carboni#552Challenger Todi · R326:0 6:3
- 18/07/26LFederico Cina#136ATP Kitzbuhel · Q12:6 6:3 1:6
- 11/07/26LCalvin Hemery#274ATP Gstaad · Q16:7 6:2 3:6
- 09/07/26LKimmer Coppejans#225Challenger Liege · R164:6 5:7
- 07/07/26WPedro Boscardin Dias#300Challenger Liege · R326:2 6:1
- 30/06/26LFrancesco Passaro#153Challenger Milan · R324:6 5:7
- 25/06/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Plovdiv · QF5:7 2:6
- 24/06/26WJelle Sels#591Challenger Plovdiv · R166:0 1:0
August Holmgren
- 27/10/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Seoul · R323:6 3:6
- 13/10/26LLuca Nardi#239Challenger Olbia · R326:4 4:6 4:6
- 06/10/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Villena · R326:2 6:7 5:7
- 02/10/26LHenrique Rocha#99Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Porto 2 · R167:5 6:1
- 28/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#95Challenger Porto 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 07/09/26LVadym Ursu#414Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
- 01/09/26LFelix Balshaw#180Challenger Manacor · R326:7 5:7
- 24/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#166ATP US Open · Q13:6 7:6 2:6
- 29/07/26LBraden Shick#205Challenger Vancouver · R327:6 3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Michalski | A. Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–562% | 18–2245% |
| Clay | 9–1833% | 6–367% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 5–645% |
Head to head
D. Michalski 1–0 A. Holmgren
- 21/05/24Winner: D. Michalski6:2 6:2