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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Milavsky vs Charlton 2:0: result and our tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #307Elo 1679hard 1653
2:0final6:3 7:6(6)
Joshua CharltonATP #851Elo 1344hard 1349

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won56%

Where the number comes from: market alone 48% → with the players' profiles 56%

Charlton: 7 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 20.5Won37%

Where the number comes from: market alone 32% → with the players' profiles 37%

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Milavsky 13 of 20, Charlton 14 of 19 (tour average 54%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky94%
Joshua Charlton6%

Elo: D. Milavsky 85% · J. Charlton 15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky78%
2:1 D. Milavsky15%
2:1 J. Charlton3%
2:0 J. Charlton4%

First set

Daniel Milavsky86%
Joshua Charlton15%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes18%
no82%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 48%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%88%
17.566%34%80%
18.555%45%71%
19.546%54%63%
20.537%63%54%
21.530%70%49%
22.526%74%42%

Sample: 1,260 matches

Games handicap

D. Milavsky −6.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Daniel MilavskyJoshua Charlton
7Aces5
4Double faults2
70%First serves in68%
65%First-serve points won62%
50%Second-serve points won48%
4/6Break points converted2/11
8/10Service games held7/11
61%Service points won58%
42%Return points won40%
77Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourJ. Charlton
Service points won63%62%66%
Return points won38%38%33%
Service games held79%76%84%
Breaks of serve24%24%14%
Aces per service game0.530.66
Double faults per game0.310.17
Sets with a tie-break14%24%
Tie-breaks won7/154/11
Wins in straight sets60%100%
Matches in the sample4519

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

Joshua Charlton

  • 13/09/26LAditya Balsekar#884Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 1:6 3:6
  • 06/09/26LJi Sung Nam#841Challenger Shanghai · Q16:7 2:6
  • 31/08/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q26:3 3:6 4:6
  • 30/08/26WTakuya Kumasaka#661Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:3 6:4
  • 18/05/26LChristopher PapaChallenger Bengaluru 3 · Q26:7 3:6
  • 17/05/26WVishal Vasudev Mahesh KumarChallenger Bengaluru 3 · Q16:4 6:4
  • 13/05/26LOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Bengaluru 2 · R166:3 4:6 3:6
  • 12/05/26WS D Prajwal Dev#678Challenger Bengaluru 2 · R326:1 6:4
  • 12/04/26LPavle Marinkov#664Challenger Wuning 2 · Q17:5 4:6 4:6
  • 06/04/26LPavle Marinkov#664Challenger Wuning · Q23:6 7:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyJoshua Charlton

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyJ. Charlton
Hard court21–1854%6–1332%
Clay0–10%0–0
Grass4–180%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.