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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Misolic vs Hernandez 0:2: result and our tips

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Filip MisolicATP #688Elo 1718clay 1776
0:2final4:6 4:6
Alex HernandezATP #497Elo 1459clay 1449

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Filip Misolic85%
Alex Hernandez15%

Elo: F. Misolic 87% · A. Hernandez 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Misolic64%
2:1 F. Misolic21%
2:1 A. Hernandez7%
2:0 A. Hernandez8%

First set

Filip Misolic78%
Alex Hernandez22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%91%
16.572%28%84%
17.561%39%76%
18.552%48%68%
19.545%55%59%
20.540%61%52%
21.534%66%47%

Sample: 1,824 matches

Games handicap

F. Misolic −5.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes17%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Filip MisolicAlex Hernandez
9Aces3
2Double faults1
46%First serves in59%
77%First-serve points won85%
43%Second-serve points won57%
1/4Break points converted3/10
7/10Service games held9/10
59%Service points won73%
27%Return points won42%
53Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. MisolicTourA. Hernandez
Service points won58%62%59%
Return points won41%38%38%
Service games held68%76%69%
Breaks of serve29%24%24%
Aces per service game0.320.20
Double faults per game0.290.37
Sets with a tie-break11%10%
Tie-breaks won3/65/9
Wins in straight sets89%69%
Matches in the sample2337

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filip Misolic

  • 25/10/26WMartin BaqueroChallenger Guayaquil · Q16:0 6:1
  • 23/10/26LMichele Ribecai#265Challenger Florence · QF2:6 1:6
  • 22/10/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#400Challenger Florence · R164:6 6:3 6:3
  • 20/10/26WFelix Gill#226Challenger Florence · R327:6 6:1
  • 19/10/26WDaniel Siniakov#495Challenger Florence · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WDominik Recek#948Challenger Florence · Q16:2 6:2
  • 05/10/26LPatrick Schoen#339Challenger Braga · Q21:6 2:6
  • 04/10/26WTiago EsculcasChallenger Braga · Q16:2 6:0
  • 27/09/26LOleksandr Ovcharenko#623Challenger Bari · Q14:6 1:3
  • 21/09/26LSebastian Gima#508Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q23:6 6:4 3:6

Alex Hernandez

  • 25/10/26WJose Pereira#738Challenger Guayaquil · Q16:1 1:0
  • 20/10/26LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Cali · R324:6 6:3 3:6
  • 19/10/26LFranco Ribero#685Challenger Cali · Q22:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WMatteo Covato#705Challenger Cali · Q17:5 6:4
  • 08/09/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 07/09/26WTuncay Duran#545Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:4 1:6 6:3
  • 06/09/26WCem IlkelChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:4
  • 31/08/26LMarek Gengel#423Challenger Manacor · Q17:6 3:6 0:2
  • 25/08/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#431Challenger Kingston 2 · R321:6 4:6
  • 20/08/26LAlan Magadan#501Challenger Cancun · R326:4 0:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Filip MisolicAlex Hernandez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. MisolicA. Hernandez
Hard court1–811%8–1436%
Clay8–657%5–1033%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Filip Misolic

Alex Hernandez