Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 16claybest of three sets
Nagal vs Hassan: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 9h 27mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Sumit Nagal60%
Benjamin Hassan40%
Elo: S. Nagal 63% · B. Hassan 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 S. Nagal39%
2:1 S. Nagal22%
2:1 B. Hassan17%
2:0 B. Hassan22%
First set
Sumit Nagal59%
Benjamin Hassan42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 28% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,913 matches
Games handicap
Sumit Nagal −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes28%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Nagal | Tour | B. Hassan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.16 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/13 | 11/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sumit Nagal
- 20/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:2
- 14/10/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Maia · R164:6 2:6
- 12/10/26WHenrique Rocha#105Challenger Maia · R323:6 7:5 7:6
- 06/10/26LLuka Mikrut#245Challenger Braga · R322:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LArthur Gea#44ATP US Open · Q13:6 6:7
- 19/08/26LJan Kumstat#192Challenger Prague · R165:7 3:6
- 17/08/26WEduardo Ribeiro#355Challenger Prague · R327:6 6:4
- 11/08/26LMax Houkes#205Challenger Hamburg · R325:7 2:6
- 01/08/26LJan Kumstat#192Challenger Liberec · SF5:7 4:6
- 31/07/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Liberec · QF6:3 6:2
Benjamin Hassan
- 20/10/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 1:6 6:3
- 19/10/26WPedro Rodenas#623Challenger Lisbon · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WSzymon KielanChallenger Lisbon · Q16:4 6:4
- 13/10/26LZsombor Piros#103Challenger Maia · R323:6 2:6
- 12/10/26WRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Maia · Q25:7 7:6 7:5
- 11/10/26WCarlos Taberner#447Challenger Maia · Q17:6 6:3
- 05/10/26LRyan Nijboer#383Challenger Braga · Q23:6 3:6
- 04/10/26WRafael Izquierdo Luque#768Challenger Braga · Q16:3 6:1
- 28/09/26LZsombor Piros#103Challenger Bari · R326:7 3:6
- 21/09/26LPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:1 4:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Sumit NagalBenjamin Hassan
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Nagal | B. Hassan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–645% | 4–1029% |
| Clay | 19–1851% | 22–1658% |
Head to head
S. Nagal 1–0 B. Hassan
- 24/06/26Winner: Sumit Nagal1:6 6:4 6:4
Road through the tournament
Sumit Nagal
- 20/10/26WAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Lisbon · R326:4 6:2
Benjamin Hassan
- 18/10/26WSzymon KielanChallenger Lisbon · Q16:4 6:4
- 19/10/26WPedro Rodenas#623Challenger Lisbon · Q26:4 7:6
- 20/10/26WNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#154Challenger Lisbon · R326:3 1:6 6:3