Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 16claybest of three sets
Mikrut vs Nagal: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 30mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Luka Mikrut78%
Sumit Nagal22%
Elo: L. Mikrut 71% · S. Nagal 29%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Mikrut56%
2:1 L. Mikrut22%
2:1 S. Nagal11%
2:0 S. Nagal12%
First set
Luka Mikrut71%
Sumit Nagal29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 65% | 35% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 56% | 44% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 36% |
Sample: 2,627 matches
Games handicap
Luka Mikrut −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes25%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Mikrut | Tour | S. Nagal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.17 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 5/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Luka Mikrut
- 13/10/26WTiago Pereira#339Challenger Maia · R326:0 6:3
- 09/10/26LVilius Gaubas#141Challenger Braga · QF2:6 4:6
- 08/10/26WOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Braga · R166:7 6:4 6:4
- 06/10/26WSumit Nagal#253Challenger Braga · R326:2 6:4
- 27/09/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger Genoa 2 · F6:4 7:5
- 26/09/26WMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Genoa 2 · SF6:3 3:6 7:6
- 25/09/26WLukas Neumayer#180Challenger Genoa 2 · QF6:3 6:4
- 23/09/26WKimmer Coppejans#232Challenger Genoa 2 · R166:1 6:1
- 22/09/26WFederico Iannaccone#587Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:1 6:2
- 19/09/26LNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo#157Challenger Szczecin · SF3:6 4:6
Sumit Nagal
- 12/10/26WHenrique Rocha#106Challenger Maia · R323:6 7:5 7:6
- 06/10/26LLuka Mikrut#167Challenger Braga · R322:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · Q13:6 6:7
- 19/08/26LJan Kumstat#191Challenger Prague · R165:7 3:6
- 17/08/26WEduardo Ribeiro#346Challenger Prague · R327:6 6:4
- 11/08/26LMax Houkes#226Challenger Hamburg · R325:7 2:6
- 01/08/26LJan Kumstat#191Challenger Liberec · SF5:7 4:6
- 31/07/26WMartin Krumich#257Challenger Liberec · QF6:3 6:2
- 29/07/26WPetr Brunclik#359Challenger Liberec · R166:4 6:4
- 27/07/26WInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Liberec · R326:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Luka MikrutSumit Nagal
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Mikrut | S. Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–742% | 5–645% |
| Clay | 17–577% | 18–1751% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
L. Mikrut 2–0 S. Nagal
- 06/10/26Winner: Luka Mikrut6:2 6:4
- 03/10/25Winner: Luka Mikrut5:7 6:1 7:6
Road through the tournament
Luka Mikrut
- 13/10/26WTiago Pereira#339Challenger Maia · R326:0 6:3
Sumit Nagal
- 12/10/26WHenrique Rocha#106Challenger Maia · R323:6 7:5 7:6