Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Pereira vs Mikrut 0:2: result and our tips

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Tiago PereiraATP #339Elo 1578clay 1569
0:2final0:6 3:6
Luka MikrutATP #167Elo 1853clay 1887

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Pereira: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 18 of 20, Mikrut 13 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MikrutWon78%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 78%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Mikrut won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Pereira 13 of 20, Mikrut 7 of 20 (tour average 36%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tiago Pereira22%
Luka Mikrut78%

Elo: T. Pereira 14% · L. Mikrut 86%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Pereira12%
2:1 T. Pereira11%
2:1 L. Mikrut22%
2:0 L. Mikrut55%

First set

Tiago Pereira29%
Luka Mikrut71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.558%42%59%
20.551%49%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.539%61%40%
23.535%65%36%

Sample: 2,705 matches

Games handicap

Luka Mikrut −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tiago PereiraLuka Mikrut
0Aces3
0Double faults2
49%First serves in52%
48%First-serve points won68%
18%Second-serve points won52%
2/4Break points converted6/9
1/7Service games held6/8
33%Service points won60%
40%Return points won67%
33Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. PereiraTourL. Mikrut
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held70%76%81%
Breaks of serve22%24%25%
Aces per service game0.270.46
Double faults per game0.160.19
Sets with a tie-break15%12%
Tie-breaks won6/154/10
Wins in straight sets33%52%
Matches in the sample4234

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tiago Pereira

Luka Mikrut

Elo over the last year

Tiago PereiraLuka Mikrut

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. PereiraL. Mikrut
Hard court5–1131%5–742%
Clay10–1540%16–576%
Grass0–10%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.